Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson: UFC 279, Sep 10, 2022

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Nate Diaz15-11-0

SatSep 10Submission · R4Welterweight

Tony Ferguson15-5-0

41.5% (Elo 1559)

(Elo 1619) 58.5%

Result

Nate Diaz wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 4, 2:52

Pre-fight Elo gave Tony Ferguson 58.5%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Nate Diaz 1559, Tony Ferguson 1619: a 60-point gap.
Common opponents: Anthony Pettis (Diaz: Win; Ferguson: Win). Donald Cerrone (Diaz: Win; Ferguson: Win). Rafael dos Anjos (Diaz: Loss; Ferguson: Win).
Form: Nate Diaz won 2 of the last 5, Tony Ferguson won 1 of 5. Form favours Nate Diaz.
Verdict: Tony Ferguson slightly favoured · Tony Ferguson 58.5% by Elo. Form favours Nate Diaz.

Nate Diaz41.5%ELO58.5%Tony Ferguson

1559 · Pre-fight Elo · 1619

Common opponents

Opponent	Nate Diaz	Tony Ferguson
Anthony Pettis	WinDecision (unanimous), Aug 17, 2019	WinKO/TKO (corner stoppage), Oct 6, 2018
Donald Cerrone	WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 30, 2011	WinKO/TKO (doctor stoppage), Jun 8, 2019
Rafael dos Anjos	LossDecision (unanimous), Dec 13, 2014	WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 5, 2016
Michael Johnson	WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 19, 2015	LossDecision (unanimous), May 5, 2012
Josh Thomson	LossKO/TKO (head kick and punches), Apr 20, 2013	WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 15, 2015

Recent form

Nate Diaz · won 2 of last 5Tony Ferguson · won 1 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Nate Diaz

Loss
Leon EdwardsDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
Jun 12, 2021
Loss
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO (doctor stoppage) · R3 5:00
Nov 2, 2019
Win
Anthony PettisDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Aug 17, 2019
Loss
Conor McGregorDecision (majority) · R5 5:00
Aug 20, 2016
Win
Conor McGregorSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 4:09
Mar 5, 2016

Tony Ferguson

Loss
Michael ChandlerKO/TKO (front kick) · R2 0:17
May 7, 2022
Loss
Beneil DariushDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
May 15, 2021
Loss
Charles OliveiraDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Dec 12, 2020
Loss
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO (punch) · R5 3:39
May 9, 2020
Win
Donald CerroneKO/TKO (doctor stoppage) · R2 5:00
Jun 8, 2019

Tale of the tape

37Age38

182.9 cmHeight182.9 cm

193.0 cmReachno data yet

SouthpawStanceno data yet

15-11-0UFC record15-5-0

1589Peak Elo1698

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Full card »

Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin HollandSubmission Daniel Rodriguez vs. Li JingliangDecision Irene Aldana vs. Macy ChiassonKO/TKO Johnny Walker vs. Ion CuțelabaSubmission Julian Erosa vs. Hakeem DawoduDecision Jailton Almeida vs. Anton TurkaljSubmission Denis Tiuliulin vs. Jamie PickettKO/TKO Chris Barnett vs. Jake CollierKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson?

Sat, Sep 10, 2022 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 279 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.