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Clay Guida vs. Michael Johnson: UFC Fight Night, Feb 6, 2021

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Clay Guida15-14-0
SatFeb 6Decision · R3Lightweight
Michael Johnson11-12-0
53.1% (Elo 1519)(Elo 1498) 46.9%

Result

Clay Guida wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Clay Guida 53.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Clay Guida 1519, Michael Johnson 1498: a 21-point gap.
Common opponents
Joe Lauzon (Guida: Win; Johnson: Win). Nate Diaz (Guida: Win; Johnson: Loss).
Form
Clay Guida won 2 of the last 5, Michael Johnson won 2 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Clay Guida 53.1% by Elo.
Clay Guida53.1%ELO46.9%Michael Johnson
1519 · Pre-fight Elo · 1498

Common opponents

OpponentClay GuidaMichael Johnson
Joe Lauzon
WinKO/TKO (punches and elbows), Nov 11, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Aug 17, 2013
Nate Diaz
WinDecision (split), Jan 31, 2009
LossDecision (unanimous), Dec 19, 2015

Recent form

Clay Guida · won 2 of last 5Michael Johnson · won 2 of last 5
145015001550160020072009201120132015201720192021Clay Guida 2006-10-14: 1516Clay Guida 2007-01-25: 1500Clay Guida 2007-06-16: 1484Clay Guida 2007-08-25: 1501Clay Guida 2007-12-08: 1488Clay Guida 2008-04-02: 1505Clay Guida 2008-09-17: 1522Clay Guida 2009-01-31: 1540Clay Guida 2009-06-20: 1527Clay Guida 2009-12-12: 1514Clay Guida 2010-03-21: 1529Clay Guida 2010-08-07: 1545Clay Guida 2011-01-01: 1559Clay Guida 2011-06-04: 1573Clay Guida 2011-11-12: 1555Clay Guida 2012-06-22: 1541Clay Guida 2013-01-26: 1556Clay Guida 2013-08-31: 1540Clay Guida 2014-04-11: 1555Clay Guida 2014-07-26: 1540Clay Guida 2015-04-04: 1556Clay Guida 2015-11-07: 1539Clay Guida 2016-06-04: 1523Clay Guida 2017-06-25: 1539Clay Guida 2017-11-11: 1555Clay Guida 2018-06-09: 1538Clay Guida 2019-05-11: 1553Clay Guida 2019-08-03: 1537Clay Guida 2020-06-20: 1519Clay Guida 2021-02-06: 15341534Michael Johnson 2010-12-04: 1484Michael Johnson 2011-06-26: 1501Michael Johnson 2011-10-01: 1485Michael Johnson 2012-01-28: 1502Michael Johnson 2012-05-05: 1520Michael Johnson 2012-10-05: 1537Michael Johnson 2012-12-29: 1520Michael Johnson 2013-04-06: 1503Michael Johnson 2013-08-17: 1521Michael Johnson 2013-12-28: 1540Michael Johnson 2014-03-08: 1556Michael Johnson 2015-02-22: 1574Michael Johnson 2015-08-08: 1558Michael Johnson 2015-12-19: 1542Michael Johnson 2016-09-17: 1562Michael Johnson 2016-11-12: 1548Michael Johnson 2017-07-07: 1529Michael Johnson 2018-01-14: 1517Michael Johnson 2018-08-25: 1534Michael Johnson 2018-10-27: 1548Michael Johnson 2019-03-30: 1531Michael Johnson 2019-10-26: 1515Michael Johnson 2020-05-13: 1498Michael Johnson 2021-02-06: 14831483

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Clay Guida
  • Loss
    King GreenDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Jim MillerSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 0:58
  • Win
    B.J. PennDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Charles OliveiraSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 2:18
  • Win
    Joe LauzonKO/TKO (punches and elbows) · R1 1:07
Michael Johnson
  • Loss
    Thiago MoisésSubmission (achilles lock) · R2 0:25
  • Loss
    Stevie RayDecision (majority) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Josh EmmettKO/TKO (punch) · R3 4:14
  • Win
    Artem LobovDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Andre FiliDecision (split) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

39Age34
170.2 cmHeight177.8 cm
177.8 cmReach185.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
15-14-0UFC record11-12-0
1573Peak Elo1574

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov

Full card »
Alexander Volkov vs. Alistair OvereemKO/TKOCory Sandhagen vs. Frankie EdgarKO/TKOAlexandre Pantoja vs. Manel KapeDecisionBeneil Dariush vs. Carlos Diego FerreiraDecisionDanilo Marques vs. Mike RodríguezSubmissionDevonte Smith vs. Justin JaynesKO/TKOKarol Rosa vs. Joselyne EdwardsDecisionLara Procópio vs. Molly McCannDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov?

Sat, Feb 6, 2021 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.