Justin Gaethje vs. Dustin Poirier: UFC 291, Jul 29, 2023

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S.

Justin Gaethje7-4-0

SatJul 29KO/TKO · R2Lightweight

Dustin Poirier21-6-0 (1 NC)

35.7% (Elo 1585)

(Elo 1687) 64.3%

Result

Justin Gaethje wins by KO/TKO (head kick)

round 2, 1:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Dustin Poirier 64.3%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Justin Gaethje 1585, Dustin Poirier 1687: a 102-point gap.
Head-to-head: They have met once; most recently on Apr 14, 2018: Dustin Poirier wins by KO/TKO (punches).
Common opponents: Michael Chandler (Gaethje: Win; Poirier: Win). Charles Oliveira (Gaethje: Loss; Poirier: Loss). Khabib Nurmagomedov (Gaethje: Loss; Poirier: Loss).
Form: Justin Gaethje won 3 of the last 5, Dustin Poirier won 4 of 5. Form favours Dustin Poirier.
Verdict: Dustin Poirier slightly favoured · Dustin Poirier 64.3% by Elo.

Justin Gaethje35.7%ELO64.3%Dustin Poirier

1585 · Pre-fight Elo · 1687

Common opponents

Opponent	Justin Gaethje	Dustin Poirier
Michael Chandler	WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 6, 2021	WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Nov 12, 2022
Charles Oliveira	LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), May 7, 2022	LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Dec 11, 2021
Khabib Nurmagomedov	LossSubmission (triangle choke), Oct 24, 2020	LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Sep 7, 2019
Eddie Alvarez	LossKO/TKO (knee), Dec 2, 2017	NCNo contest (illegal knees), May 13, 2017 WinKO/TKO (punches), Jul 28, 2018
Michael Johnson	WinKO/TKO (punches and knees), Jul 7, 2017	LossKO/TKO (punches), Sep 17, 2016

Recent form

Justin Gaethje · won 3 of last 5Dustin Poirier · won 4 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Justin Gaethje

Win
Rafael FizievDecision (majority) · R3 5:00
Mar 18, 2023
Loss
Charles OliveiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:22
May 7, 2022
Win
Michael ChandlerDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Nov 6, 2021
Loss
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission (triangle choke) · R2 1:34
Oct 24, 2020
Win
Tony FergusonKO/TKO (punch) · R5 3:39
May 9, 2020

Dustin Poirier

Win
Michael ChandlerSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 2:00
Nov 12, 2022
Loss
Charles OliveiraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 1:02
Dec 11, 2021
Win
Conor McGregorKO/TKO (doctor stoppage) · R1 5:00
Jul 10, 2021
Win
Conor McGregorKO/TKO (punches) · R2 2:32
Jan 24, 2021
Win
Dan HookerDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
Jun 27, 2020

Tale of the tape

34Age34

180.3 cmHeight175.3 cm

177.8 cmReach182.9 cm

OrthodoxStanceno data yet

7-4-0UFC record21-6-0 (1 NC)

1641Peak Elo1695

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ABC / ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Full card »

Alex Pereira vs. Jan BłachowiczDecision Derrick Lewis vs. Marcos Rogério de LimaKO/TKO King Green vs. Tony FergusonSubmission Kevin Holland vs. Michael ChiesaSubmission Gabriel Bonfim vs. Trevin GilesSubmission C.J. Vergara vs. Vinicius SalvadorDecision Roman Kopylov vs. Claudio RibeiroKO/TKO Jake Matthews vs. Darrius FlowersSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2?

Sat, Jul 29, 2023 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 291 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.