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King Green vs. Tony Ferguson: UFC 291, Jul 29, 2023

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S.
King Green10-9-1 (1 NC)
SatJul 29Submission · R3Lightweight
Tony Ferguson15-6-0
39.5% (Elo 1526)(Elo 1600) 60.5%

Result

King Green wins by Submission (arm-triangle choke)

round 3, 4:54

Pre-fight Elo gave Tony Ferguson 60.5%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
King Green 1526, Tony Ferguson 1600: a 74-point gap.
Common opponents
Lando Vannata (Green: Draw, Win; Ferguson: Win). Edson Barboza (Green: Loss; Ferguson: Win). Josh Thomson (Green: Win; Ferguson: Win).
Form
King Green won 2 of the last 5, Tony Ferguson won 0 of 5. Form favours King Green.
Verdict
Tony Ferguson slightly favoured · Tony Ferguson 60.5% by Elo. Form favours King Green.
King Green39.5%ELO60.5%Tony Ferguson
1526 · Pre-fight Elo · 1600

Common opponents

OpponentKing GreenTony Ferguson
Lando Vannata
DrawDraw (split), Oct 7, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Aug 1, 2020
WinSubmission (D'Arce choke), Jul 13, 2016
Edson Barboza
LossDecision (unanimous), Nov 22, 2014
WinSubmission (D'Arce choke), Dec 11, 2015
Josh Thomson
WinDecision (split), Jul 26, 2014
WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 15, 2015

Recent form

King Green · won 2 of last 5Tony Ferguson · won 0 of last 5
15001550160016501700201220142016201820202022King Green 2013-02-02: 1518King Green 2013-11-06: 1534King Green 2013-12-14: 1547King Green 2014-07-26: 1562King Green 2014-11-22: 1547King Green 2016-06-04: 1534King Green 2017-04-15: 1519King Green 2017-10-07: 1518King Green 2018-01-27: 1533King Green 2018-12-15: 1517King Green 2019-11-16: 1504King Green 2020-06-20: 1522King Green 2020-08-01: 1537King Green 2020-09-12: 1553King Green 2020-10-31: 1535King Green 2021-08-07: 1519King Green 2021-11-06: 1537King Green 2022-02-12: 1553King Green 2022-02-26: 1541King Green 2022-12-17: 1526King Green 2023-04-22: 1526King Green 2023-07-29: 15451545Tony Ferguson 2011-06-04: 1516Tony Ferguson 2011-09-24: 1531Tony Ferguson 2011-12-03: 1548Tony Ferguson 2012-05-05: 1530Tony Ferguson 2013-10-19: 1544Tony Ferguson 2014-05-24: 1559Tony Ferguson 2014-08-30: 1575Tony Ferguson 2014-12-06: 1589Tony Ferguson 2015-02-28: 1606Tony Ferguson 2015-07-15: 1617Tony Ferguson 2015-12-11: 1632Tony Ferguson 2016-07-13: 1642Tony Ferguson 2016-11-05: 1658Tony Ferguson 2017-10-07: 1672Tony Ferguson 2018-10-06: 1683Tony Ferguson 2019-06-08: 1698Tony Ferguson 2020-05-09: 1675Tony Ferguson 2020-12-12: 1658Tony Ferguson 2021-05-15: 1641Tony Ferguson 2022-05-07: 1619Tony Ferguson 2022-09-10: 1600Tony Ferguson 2023-07-29: 15811581

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

King Green
Tony Ferguson

Tale of the tape

36Age39
177.8 cmHeight182.9 cm
180.3 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
10-9-1 (1 NC)UFC record15-6-0
1587Peak Elo1698

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ABC / ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Full card »
Justin Gaethje vs. Dustin PoirierKO/TKOAlex Pereira vs. Jan BłachowiczDecisionDerrick Lewis vs. Marcos Rogério de LimaKO/TKOKevin Holland vs. Michael ChiesaSubmissionGabriel Bonfim vs. Trevin GilesSubmissionC.J. Vergara vs. Vinicius SalvadorDecisionRoman Kopylov vs. Claudio RibeiroKO/TKOJake Matthews vs. Darrius FlowersSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2?

Sat, Jul 29, 2023 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 291 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.