ENVI
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Nate Diaz vs. Gray Maynard: The Ultimate Fighter, Nov 30, 2013

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Nate Diaz11-7-0
SatNov 30KO/TKO · R1Lightweight
Gray Maynard9-2-1 (1 NC)
42.6% (Elo 1551)(Elo 1602) 57.4%

Result

Nate Diaz wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 2:38

Pre-fight Elo gave Gray Maynard 57.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Nate Diaz 1551, Gray Maynard 1602: a 51-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on Jan 11, 2010: Gray Maynard wins by Decision (split).
Common opponents
Clay Guida (Diaz: Loss; Maynard: Win). Jim Miller (Diaz: Win; Maynard: Win).
Form
Nate Diaz won 3 of the last 5, Gray Maynard won 2 of 5. Form favours Nate Diaz.
Verdict
Gray Maynard slightly favoured · Gray Maynard 57.4% by Elo. Form favours Nate Diaz.
Nate Diaz42.6%ELO57.4%Gray Maynard
1551 · Pre-fight Elo · 1602

Common opponents

OpponentNate DiazGray Maynard
Clay Guida
LossDecision (split), Jan 31, 2009
WinDecision (split), Jun 22, 2012
Jim Miller
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), May 5, 2012
WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 7, 2009

Recent form

Nate Diaz · won 3 of last 5Gray Maynard · won 2 of last 5
15001550160016502008200920102011201220132014Nate Diaz 2007-06-23: 1516Nate Diaz 2007-09-19: 1531Nate Diaz 2008-01-23: 1546Nate Diaz 2008-04-02: 1561Nate Diaz 2008-09-17: 1574Nate Diaz 2009-01-31: 1556Nate Diaz 2009-06-20: 1539Nate Diaz 2009-09-16: 1554Nate Diaz 2010-01-11: 1540Nate Diaz 2010-03-27: 1554Nate Diaz 2010-08-28: 1571Nate Diaz 2011-01-01: 1554Nate Diaz 2011-04-30: 1536Nate Diaz 2011-09-24: 1550Nate Diaz 2011-12-30: 1566Nate Diaz 2012-05-05: 1585Nate Diaz 2012-12-08: 1569Nate Diaz 2013-04-20: 1551Nate Diaz 2013-11-30: 15691569Gray Maynard 2007-06-23: 1500Gray Maynard 2007-09-19: 1516Gray Maynard 2008-01-23: 1531Gray Maynard 2008-04-02: 1548Gray Maynard 2008-10-25: 1563Gray Maynard 2009-03-07: 1578Gray Maynard 2009-09-16: 1594Gray Maynard 2010-01-11: 1608Gray Maynard 2010-08-28: 1624Gray Maynard 2011-01-01: 1624Gray Maynard 2011-10-08: 1607Gray Maynard 2012-06-22: 1621Gray Maynard 2013-05-25: 1602Gray Maynard 2013-11-30: 15841584

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Nate Diaz
Gray Maynard

Tale of the tape

28Age34
182.9 cmHeight172.7 cm
193.0 cmReach177.8 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
11-7-0UFC record9-2-1 (1 NC)
1589Peak Elo1624

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale

Full card »
Julianna Peña vs. Jessica RakoczyKO/TKOChris Holdsworth vs. Davey GrantSubmissionJessamyn Duke vs. Peggy MorganDecisionRaquel Pennington vs. Roxanne ModafferiDecisionAkira Corassani vs. Maximo BlancoDisqualificationTom Niinimäki vs. Rani YahyaDecisionJared Rosholt vs. Walt HarrisDecisionSean Spencer vs. Drew DoberDecision

FAQ

When and where is The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale?

Sat, Nov 30, 2013 at Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: The Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.