Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula (TMO-SK.N) result: VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2026, 14 Aug 2026

47.3%Win probability before the match52.7%
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VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2026 · Upper bracket quarterfinal 4Twisted Minds OrchidTwisted Minds OrchidTwisted Minds OrchidSK NebulaSK NebulaSK NebulaSK NebulaSK NebulaVS
REPLAYYouTube · VALORANT Champions Tour EMEA · FR

Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating13 Elo points separate Twisted Minds Orchid (1318) and SK Nebula (1331).
  • Head-to-headTwisted Minds Orchid 3-2 SK Nebula in 5 meetings since 2024. Twisted Minds Orchid took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2026 (). More
  • FormTwisted Minds Orchid won 6 of their last 10; SK Nebula won 6 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave SK Nebula a 53% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula: rosters

SK NebulaElo: #94

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Twisted Minds OrchidTeamSK Nebula
58% (67-48)Map win rate56% (58-46)
12-8Deciding maps won–lost9-6
59%Series wins without dropping a map64%
47 minAverage map length47 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Twisted Minds Orchid ()

All 5 meetings

Twisted Minds Orchid and SK Nebula: form going into the match

Twisted Minds Orchid · 6 of 10 wonSK Nebula · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
126312971330136413291331126312971330136413291331
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGentle Mates GC2–0
WSK Nebula2–0
WBarça eSports GC2–0
LG2 Gozen1–2
LHabos Babos1–2
WGIANTX GC2–1
WALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby2–0
WFOKUS Sakura2–0
LKarmine Corp GC1–2
LGIANTX GC0–2
WKarmine Corp GC2–0
LTwisted Minds Orchid0–2
LFOKUS Sakura0–2
WHabos Babos2–0
LG2 Gozen0–2
WALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby2–0
WBarça eSports GC2–0
LGentle Mates GC0–2
WGIANTX GC2–0
WGentle Mates GC3–0