Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula (KC.GC-SK.N) result: VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2025, 9 Oct 2025

53.5%Win probability before the match46.5%
Map 1Karmine Corp GCKarmine Corp GCwonMap 2Karmine Corp GCKarmine Corp GCwon
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Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating17 Elo points separate Karmine Corp GC (1323) and SK Nebula (1306).
  • Head-to-headKarmine Corp GC 2-1 SK Nebula in 3 meetings since 2024. SK Nebula took the previous meeting 2-1 at VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 2 2025 (). More
  • FormKarmine Corp GC won 9 of their last 10; SK Nebula won 5 of 10. Karmine Corp GC are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Karmine Corp GC a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: rosters

SK NebulaElo: #89

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Karmine Corp GCTeamSK Nebula
67% (51-25)Map win rate60% (47-31)
11-3Deciding maps won–lost8-8
52%Series wins without dropping a map58%
46 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to SK Nebula ()

All 3 meetings

Karmine Corp GC and SK Nebula: form going into the match

Karmine Corp GC · 9 of 10 wonSK Nebula · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
126613081351139313151299126613081351139313151299
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTwisted Minds Orchid0–2
WFrick My Chungus Life2–1
WZERANCE Mint2–0
WZennIT Orange GC2–0
WGIANTX GC3–2
WGIANTX GC2–0
WG2 Gozen2–0
WTwisted Minds Orchid2–1
WZERANCE Mint2–1
WDVM GC2–0
WBLVKHVND2–0
WZennIT Orange GC2–0
LG2 Gozen0–2
LGIANTX GC1–2
LAlQadsiah Corals1–2
LGIANTX GC1–3
WG2 Gozen2–1
LGIANTX GC1–2
WBLVKHVND2–1
WAlQadsiah Corals2–1