SK Nebula vs ZERANCE Mint (SK.N-ZER.M) result: VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2025, 11 Oct 2025

64.7%Win probability before the match35.3%
Map 1SK NebulaSK NebulawonMap 2SK NebulaSK Nebulawon
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SK Nebula vs ZERANCE Mint: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating70 Elo points separate SK Nebula (1285) and ZERANCE Mint (1215).
  • Head-to-headSK Nebula 2-0 ZERANCE Mint in 2 meetings since 2024. SK Nebula took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 2 2025 (). More
  • FormSK Nebula won 4 of their last 10; ZERANCE Mint won 1 of 10. SK Nebula are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave SK Nebula a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

SK Nebula vs ZERANCE Mint: rosters

SK NebulaElo: #89

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SK NebulaTeamZERANCE Mint
59% (47-33)Map win rate33% (21-43)
8-8Deciding maps won–lost5-9
58%Series wins without dropping a map17%
45 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

SK Nebula vs ZERANCE Mint: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to SK Nebula ()

All 2 meetings

SK Nebula and ZERANCE Mint: form going into the match

SK Nebula · 4 of 10 wonZERANCE Mint · 1 of 10 wonWonLost
117312461320139312931226117312461320139312931226
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LKarmine Corp GC0–2
WBLVKHVND2–0
WZennIT Orange GC2–0
LG2 Gozen0–2
LGIANTX GC1–2
LAlQadsiah Corals1–2
LGIANTX GC1–3
WG2 Gozen2–1
LGIANTX GC1–2
WBLVKHVND2–1
LBLVKHVND1–2
WAlQadsiah Corals2–1
LG2 Gozen0–2
LFrick My Chungus Life0–2
LGIANTX GC1–2
LKarmine Corp GC0–2
LKarmine Corp GC1–2
LG2 Gozen0–2
LGIANTX GC1–2
LSK Nebula0–2