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regain vs Marsborne (REGAIN-MARS) result: ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 season 52 2026, 29 Sep 2026

regainregainregain#213 · Elo 15000MarsborneMarsborne#73 · Elo 16862
ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 season 52 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
16.2%Win probability before the match83.8%
Map 1MarsbornewonMap 2Marsbornewon
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regain vs Marsborne: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating186 Elo points separate regain (1500) and Marsborne (1686).
  • Head-to-headregain 1-2 Marsborne in 3 meetings since 2024. Marsborne took the previous meeting 2-0 at StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Fall 2026 (). More
  • Formregain won 4 of their last 10; Marsborne won 6 of 10. Marsborne come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Marsborne a 84% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

regain vs Marsborne: rosters

regainElo: #213VRS: #159
AWP
IGL
grapeProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
52%Win rate67%
52Matches, 12 months69
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
lost 2Current streakwon 5
25Age20
03/2026On the team since04/2026
1280eDPI820
ogwizardProfile
MarsborneElo: #73VRS: #116
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

regainTeamMarsborne
52% (83-77)Map win rate63% (146-85)
14-2Deciding maps won–lost12-18
64%Series wins without dropping a map81%
39 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

regain vs Marsborne: meetings before this one

regainregainregain1win2winsMarsborneMarsborne

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Marsborne ()

BO3StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Fall 2026 · Playoffsregainregainregain25%00 : 2MarsborneMarsborne75%2BO3BLAST Open North American Qualifier Fall 2026 · Playoffsregainregainregain21%22 : 1MarsborneMarsborne79%1BO3fl0m's Mythical LAN Las Vegas 2026 · Group Bregainregainregain14%00 : 2MarsborneMarsborne86%2
All 3 meetings

regain and Marsborne: form going into the match

regain · 4 of 10 wonMarsborne · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
148815691650173215001686148815691650173215001686
Elo after each match · oldernewer
regainregainregainSee all
LLAG Gaming0–2
WFarmVille2–0
LLAG Gaming0–2
WDetonate2–0
WNuTorious2–1
LFarmVille0–1
LWithout a Roof0–1
LFor Fun1–2
WSkyline2–1
LDetonate0–1
MarsborneMarsborneSee all
WFarmVille2–0
WDetonate2–0
WIowa Stormboar2–0
WFlyQuest RED2–0
LIowa Stormboar0–2
LWithout a Roof0–2
LLiquid1–2
LWithout a Roof0–2
WLAG Gaming2–0
WIncognito2–0

Bracket path

Lower Bracket Finalregainregainregain0MarsborneMarsborne2This match
Marsborne go toGrand Finalvs LAG Gaming
regain knocked out