RUSTEC vs Phantom (RUST-PHA) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 season 51 2026, 26 Apr 2026

71.7%Win probability before the match28.3%
Map 1PhantomPhantomwonMap 2PhantomPhantomwon
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RUSTEC vs Phantom: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating107 Elo points separate RUSTEC (1645) and Phantom (1538).
  • Head-to-headRUSTEC 3-1 Phantom in 4 meetings since 2024. RUSTEC took the previous meeting 1-0 at ESEA Advanced Europe season 55 2025 (). More
  • FormRUSTEC won 7 of their last 10; Phantom won 3 of 10. RUSTEC are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave RUSTEC a 72% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

RUSTEC vs Phantom: rosters

RUSTECElo: #230
PhantomElo: #72VRS: #72
Kylar
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

RUSTECTeamPhantom
58% (148-108)Map win rate48% (145-160)
23-16Deciding maps won–lost22-26
55%Series wins without dropping a map53%
42 minAverage map length44 min
53%CT-side rounds won54%
44%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

RUSTEC vs Phantom: meetings before this one

RUSTECRUSTEC3wins1winPhantomPhantomPhantom

4 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to RUSTEC ()

All 4 meetings

RUSTEC and Phantom: form going into the match

RUSTEC · 7 of 10 wonPhantom · 3 of 10 wonWonLost
152315661610165316451540152315661610165316451540
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WINOX Division2–0
WBrute2–1
Waimclub2–0
LINOX Division0–2
Wex-RUBY2–1
Wplayersclub2–0
LHashiras0–2
WAtreides2–1
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WSTATE2–0
LHashiras1–2
WAtreides2–1
LFavbet0–2
LGenOne0–2
LLavked0–2
Lex-RUBY1–2
LMetizport0–2
WHEROIC Academy2–0
WUrsa2–1
LB81–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

RUSTECWin %Phantom
67%3 mapsLWW
Nuke
73%11 mapsWWWLW
67%3 mapsWLW
Dust II
0%7 mapsLLLLL
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
43%7 mapsLWLWW
100%2 mapsWW
Overpass
75%4 mapsLWWW
0%1 mapsL
Mirage
75%4 mapsWWWL
100%1 mapsW
Anubis
25%4 mapsWLLL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA