Alliance vs STATE (ALL-STA) result: United21 x Esplay Challenge Season 1 2026, 23 Jan 2026

80.1%Win probability before the match19.9%
Map 1Alliancewon
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Alliance vs STATE: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating241 Elo points separate Alliance (1729) and STATE (1488).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormAlliance won 7 of their last 10; STATE won 6 of 10. Alliance come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 80% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Alliance vs STATE: rosters

AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
73%Win rate46%
11Matches, 12 months37
7/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
24Age25
12/2024On the team since01/2026
600eDPI1236
kwezz
kwezzProfile
STATEElo: #117VRS: #123
kwezz
PattiIGL
thamlike

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AllianceTeamSTATE
59% (197-139)Map win rate52% (15-14)
28-30Deciding maps won–lost2-2
63%Series wins without dropping a map50%
48 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Alliance and STATE: form going into the match

Alliance · 7 of 10 wonSTATE · 6 of 10 won
L9INE0–2
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–0
WSPARTA2–1
WSangal2–0
WRUBY2–1
LVenom1–2
L1WIN1–2
WARCRED2–0
WMetizport3–0
WEYEBALLERS2–0
WMANA eSports1–0
WChickenBurger1–0
LLilmix0–2
Wmegoshort2–1
LJohnny Speeds1–2
WHEROIC Academy2–0
LPrestige0–1
WJohnny Speeds1–0
WInfinite1–0
LAaB Esport0–1