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Astralis vs Heroic (AST-HERO) result: ESL Pro League Season 22 2025, 1 Oct 2025

AstralisAstralis#19 · Elo 17782HeroicHeroic#13 · Elo 17131
ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 · Stage 1Match overBO3LAN
63.8%Win probability before the match36.2%
Map 1MirageAstralis13-10Map 2InfernoHeroic4-13Map 3NukeAstralis13-2
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Astralis vs Heroic: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage52 min▶
Astralis
13
CT4:8T9:2
Heroic
10
MAP 2Inferno35 min▶
Astralis
4
T1:11CT3:2
Heroic
13
MAP 3Nuke34 min▶
Astralis
13
CT11:1T2:1
Heroic
2

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs Heroic: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating65 Elo points separate Astralis (1778) and Heroic (1713).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 1-4 Heroic in 5 meetings since 2024. Heroic took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Dallas: Europe Closed Qualifier 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 4 of their last 10; Heroic won 3 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 64% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs Heroic: rosters

AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
device
HooXiIGL
jabbi
Magisk
Staehr
device
deviceProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
–Win rate59%
–Matches, 12 months56
–Last 10 matches3/10
–Current streaklost 1
30Age18
05/2023On the team since08/2025
alkarennProfile
HeroicElo: #13VRS: #15
LNZIGL
xfl0ud

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamHeroic
51% (94-92)Map win rate57% (116-88)
19-11Deciding maps won–lost20-18
51%Series wins without dropping a map50%
49 minAverage map length48 min
54%CT-side rounds won52%
49%First half won54%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs Heroic: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis1win4winsHeroicHeroic

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Heroic ()

BO3IEM Dallas: Europe Closed Qualifier 2025 · PlayoffsAstralisAstralis61%00 : 2HeroicHeroic39%2BO3IEM Rio 2024 · Group BAstralisAstralis46%00 : 2HeroicHeroic54%2BO1YaLLa Compass 2024 · Group AAstralisAstralis53%11 : 0HeroicHeroic47%0BO1PGL Major Copenhagen: European RMR B 2024 · Group StageAstralisAstralis44%00 : 1HeroicHeroic56%1BO1IEM Katowice 2024 · Play-InAstralisAstralis48%00 : 1HeroicHeroic52%1
All 5 meetings

Astralis and Heroic: form going into the match

Astralis · 4 of 10 wonHeroic · 3 of 10 won
AstralisAstralisSee all
LGamerLegion0–2
LENCE1–2
WFluxo2–1
LFURIA0–2
WGamerLegion2–0
WLegacy2–0
LpaiN0–2
WVirtus.pro2–0
LAurora Gaming1–2
LTYLOO1–2
HeroicHeroicSee all
L3DMAX0–2
WM802–0
LGentle Mates1–2
LLiquid1–2
LpaiN1–2
LLegacy1–2
LAurora Gaming0–2
WSpirit2–1
WPassion UA2–1
LAurora Gaming0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %Heroic
63%24 mapsWLWLL
Nuke
45%11 mapsLLWWL
47%17 mapsWLLWW
Mirage
61%18 mapsWLLLL
59%17 mapsLLWWW
Ancient
41%17 mapsLLLWL
23%13 mapsWLLLL
Dust II
42%19 mapsLWWWL
56%16 mapsLWWLL
Inferno
0%1 mapsL
50%8 mapsWLLWL
Train
71%7 mapsLLWWW
29%7 mapsLLWLL
Overpass
60%5 mapsWLWWL
–
Anubis
67%9 mapsLLWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA