Morningstar vs Change The Game (MSTAR-CTG) result: CS Asia Championships Closed Qualifier 2026, 10 Mar 2026

71.3%Win probability before the match28.7%
Map 1MorningstarMorningstarwonMap 2MorningstarMorningstarwon

Morningstar vs Change The Game: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating105 Elo points separate Morningstar (1656) and Change The Game (1551).
  • Head-to-headMorningstar 1-0 Change The Game in 1 meeting since 2024. Morningstar took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 1 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormMorningstar won 7 of their last 10; Change The Game won 6 of 10. Morningstar come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Morningstar a 71% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Morningstar vs Change The Game: rosters

MorningstarElo: #143
AWP
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
49%Win rate49%
57Matches, 12 months41
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
26Age23
12/2025On the team since07/2025
1120eDPI–
VanceKKProfile
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MorningstarTeamChange The Game
63% (22-13)Map win rate56% (35-27)
4-0Deciding maps won–lost6-7
60%Series wins without dropping a map54%
48 minAverage map length41 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Morningstar vs Change The Game: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–1 to Morningstar ()

The only meeting

Morningstar and Change The Game: form going into the match

Morningstar · 7 of 10 wonChange The Game · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
145515291602167516561549145515291602167516561549
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTYLOO0–2
W100RA1–0
WChange The Game2–1
WLast Bullet2–0
WBoring Players2–0
WLegion2–0
LLynn Vision0–2
WThe Huns Esports2–0
LFlyQuest0–2
WThe Huns Esports2–0
WChaos Gaming2–0
LChinggis Warriors0–1
LMorningstar1–2
WLast Bullet2–1
WThe QUBE Esports2–0
WChinggis Warriors2–1
WLegion2–0
WTeam Arise2–1
LChinggis Warriors0–2
LWalk the Talk1–2