Mousquetaires vs Ursa (MSQ-URSA) result: European Pro League Series 5 Play-In 2026, 17 Feb 2026

28.3%Win probability before the match71.7%
Map 1MousquetairesMousquetaireswonMap 2MousquetairesMousquetaireswon
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Mousquetaires vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating107 Elo points separate Mousquetaires (1464) and Ursa (1571).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormMousquetaires won 3 of their last 10; Ursa won 5 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 72% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Mousquetaires vs Ursa: rosters

AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MousquetairesTeamUrsa
48% (124-132)Map win rate55% (97-80)
22-20Deciding maps won–lost13-12
50%Series wins without dropping a map48%
45 minAverage map length47 min
49%CT-side rounds won43%
0%First half won50%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Mousquetaires and Ursa: form going into the match

Mousquetaires · 3 of 10 wonUrsa · 5 of 10 won
LQWENTRY1–2
LUNiTY esports1–2
LeLITenergy1–2
Llos kogutos1–2
WEPG Family2–0
LBASEMENT BOYS0–2
LMANA eSports1–2
LYoung Ninjas0–2
WHAVU2–0
WJUMBO TEAM2–1
LQWENTRY0–2
LPRIME1–2
LHyperSpirit0–2
WCSDIILIT2–0
WPigeons2–0
WMANA eSports1–0
Laimclub0–1
WVP.Prodigy1–0
LLFO0–1
WHyperSpirit1–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MousquetairesWin %Ursa
0%3 mapsLLL
Nuke
–
0%1 mapsL
Dust II
50%2 mapsWL
50%2 mapsLW
Train
–
–
Mirage
0%2 mapsLL
–
Inferno
0%2 mapsLL
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
–
–
Overpass
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA