Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (MF-ARC) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 2026, 6 Apr 2026

59.9%Win probability before the match40.1%
Map 1Arcade EsportswonMap 2MindfreakMindfreakwonMap 3Arcade Esportswon
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Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating46 Elo points separate Mindfreak (1486) and Arcade Esports (1440).
  • Head-to-headMindfreak 8-1 Arcade Esports in 9 meetings since 2024. Arcade Esports took the previous meeting 2-1 at ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 (). More
  • FormMindfreak won 4 of their last 10; Arcade Esports won 4 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Mindfreak a 60% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports: rosters

MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MindfreakTeamArcade Esports
54% (106-89)Map win rate44% (12-15)
9-17Deciding maps won–lost1-2
76%Series wins without dropping a map80%
43 minAverage map length47 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports: meetings before this one

9 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Arcade Esports ()

All 9 meetings

Mindfreak and Arcade Esports: form going into the match

Mindfreak · 4 of 10 wonArcade Esports · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
143014931556161914941448143014931556161914941448
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LAbyssal1–2
WTime Waves2–0
LRooster0–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LGround Zero1–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
LArcade Esports1–2
LSemperFi Esports0–2
WAbyssal1–0
LGround Zero0–2
WTime Waves2–0
LAbyssal1–2
LRooster0–2
LRooster0–2
LSemperFi Esports0–2
WGround Zero2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–1
WMindfreak2–1
WAbyssal2–0
LSemperFi Esports0–1