Underground ESC vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (UG-TdU) result: Dfrag Open Series #2 2025, 6 Dec 2025

10.2%Win probability before the match89.8%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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Underground ESC vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating243 Elo points separate Underground ESC (1404) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1647).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormUnderground ESC won 4 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 5 of 6. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 90% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Underground ESC vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Underground ESCTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
33% (26-53)Map win rate80% (12-3)
2-5Deciding maps won–lost0-1
75%Series wins without dropping a map100%
44 minAverage map length38 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Underground ESC and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

Underground ESC · 4 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 5 of 6 wonWonLost
135214831615174613981645135214831615174613981645
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LMindfreak1–2
LRooster1–2
WMindfreak1–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WBlingus2–0
LRooster0–1
LGround Zero0–2
WVantage2–1
LLITE Esports0–2
LAnimus Victoria0–2
LGround Zero2–3
WMindfreak2–0
WLITE Esports2–0
WVantage2–0
WAnimus Victoria2–0
WLITE Esports2–0