Ursa vs illwill (URSA-ILWL) result: CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 season 3 2026, 17 Jan 2026

50.4%Win probability before the match49.6%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2illwillwon
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Ursa vs illwill: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating2 Elo points separate Ursa (1596) and illwill (1594).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormUrsa won 8 of their last 10; illwill won 6 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (50% for the side it leaned to); illwill took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ursa vs illwill: rosters

AWP
illwillVRS: #255

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

UrsaTeamillwill
57% (74-55)Map win rate54% (25-21)
10-9Deciding maps won–lost4-3
44%Series wins without dropping a map60%
46 minAverage map length47 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Ursa and illwill: form going into the match

Ursa · 8 of 10 wonillwill · 6 of 10 won
Wex-GANK Esports1–0
WBebop2–1
WAcend2–1
WAurora Young Blood2–1
WeLITenergy2–1
WFUT Academy1–0
WValtrion1–0
LQWENTRY0–2
WNemiga2–0
LALLINNERS1–2
Wpetardka2–0
LUNiTY esports0–2
WBASEMENT BOYS2–1
WMASONIC2–0
Lfnatic1–2
LBESTIA0–2
WVenom2–0
WInner Circle Esports2–1
WFingers Crossed2–0
LMOUZ NXT0–1