SAW vs MOUZ NXT (SAW-MOUZ.N) result: Leon.bet Masters Season 1 2026, 26 Sep 2026

83.7%Win probability before the match16.3%
Watch back
Leon.bet Masters Season 1 2026 · Quarterfinal 4SAWSAWSAWMOUZ NXTMOUZ NXTMOUZ NXTVS
REPLAYTwitch · roman · PT

SAW vs MOUZ NXT: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating186 Elo points separate SAW (1667) and MOUZ NXT (1481).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormSAW won 7 of their last 10; MOUZ NXT won 5 of 10. SAW come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave SAW a 84% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

SAW vs MOUZ NXT: rosters

SAWElo: #80VRS: #42
ewjerkz
MUTiRiSIGL
NOPEEJ
storyAWP
story
storyProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
59%Win rate43%
54Matches, 12 months92
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 2Current streakwon 1
24Age18
07/2023On the team since07/2025
1100eDPI–
MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SAWTeamMOUZ NXT
51% (71-68)Map win rate49% (191-201)
9-14Deciding maps won–lost31-34
61%Series wins without dropping a map54%
45 minAverage map length46 min
52%CT-side rounds won47%
67%First half won47%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

SAW and MOUZ NXT: form going into the match

SAW · 7 of 10 wonMOUZ NXT · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
145815411624170716711475145815411624170716711475
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WInfinite2–0
WNice Try1–0
L66661–2
LLuminosity1–2
WWBT2–0
LNice Try0–1
WSTATE1–0
W66661–0
WGiant Pandas1–0
WFlame Hard1–0
WFaZe Up Next2–1
LFaZe Up Next0–1
LBASEMENT BOYS0–2
WDark Moon2–0
LUNiTY esports0–2
WPermitta Esports2–0
WKUUSAMO.gg2–0
LThe Last Resort0–2
LWRAITH PCIFIC0–2
WMisa Esports2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

SAWWin %MOUZ NXT
–
Dust II
67%6 mapsWLLWW
–
Mirage
20%5 mapsLWLLL
50%2 mapsWL
Cache
0%2 mapsLL
100%1 mapsW
Nuke
33%3 mapsLWL
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
33%3 mapsLWL
67%3 mapsWLW
Inferno
–
50%2 mapsLW
Anubis
0%1 mapsL
–
Overpass
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Quarterfinal 4SAWSAW2MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT0This match