Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula (KC.GC-SK.N) result: VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 1 2026, 28 Jan 2026

62%Win probability before the match38%
Map 1SK NebulaSK NebulawonMap 2Karmine Corp GCKarmine Corp GCwonMap 3SK NebulaSK Nebulawon
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Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating57 Elo points separate Karmine Corp GC (1294) and SK Nebula (1237).
  • Head-to-headKarmine Corp GC 3-1 SK Nebula in 4 meetings since 2024. Karmine Corp GC took the previous meeting 2-0 at VCT Game Changers EMEA Stage 3 2025 (). More
  • FormKarmine Corp GC won 2 of their last 10; SK Nebula won 6 of 10. SK Nebula are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Karmine Corp GC a 62% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: rosters

SK NebulaElo: #89

Settings, ACS, K/D, KAST, ADR source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Karmine Corp GCTeamSK Nebula
63% (68-40)Map win rate58% (55-40)
11-8Deciding maps won–lost9-8
62%Series wins without dropping a map61%
45 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Karmine Corp GC vs SK Nebula: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Karmine Corp GC ()

All 4 meetings

Karmine Corp GC and SK Nebula: form going into the match

Karmine Corp GC · 2 of 10 wonSK Nebula · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
122912801331138212941237122912801331138212941237
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby1–2
WGIANTX GC2–0
LNuxeria Esport0–2
LRamboot Club0–1
LKRÜ Blaze0–2
LShopify Rebellion Gold1–2
WXipto GC2–0
LGIANTX GC1–2
LG2 Gozen1–2
LAlQadsiah Corals1–2
LG2 Gozen0–2
WSissi State Punks Numina2–1
WOverpeek2–0
LG2 Gozen0–2
LTwisted Minds Orchid0–2
WFrick My Chungus Life2–0
WZERANCE Mint2–0
LKarmine Corp GC0–2
WBLVKHVND2–0
WZennIT Orange GC2–0