Sinners vs Alliance (SIN-ALL) result: Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 2025, 2 May 2025

74.6%Win probability before the match25.4%
Map 1AlliancewonMap 2SinnerswonMap 3Alliancewon
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Sinners vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating124 Elo points separate Sinners (1649) and Alliance (1525).
  • Head-to-headSinners 2-1 Alliance in 3 meetings since 2024. Alliance took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT Europe Series #17 season 2 2025 (). More
  • FormSinners won 6 of their last 10; Alliance won 3 of 10. Sinners are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Sinners a 75% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Sinners vs Alliance: rosters

SinnersElo: #32VRS: #41
beastikIGL
MoDoAWP
SHOCK
Player comparison12 months before this match
21Age23
–On the team since12/2024
800eDPI600
AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SinnersTeamAlliance
54% (238-201)Map win rate46% (122-143)
35-39Deciding maps won–lost25-27
62%Series wins without dropping a map44%
46 minAverage map length48 min
42%CT-side rounds won43%
41%First half won55%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Sinners vs Alliance: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Alliance ()

All 3 meetings

Sinners and Alliance: form going into the match

Sinners · 6 of 10 wonAlliance · 3 of 10 won
LSPARTA1–2
WInsilio3–0
WInsilio2–0
LNexus1–2
WTricked2–0
WYoung Ninjas2–0
LSashi Esport0–2
LSashi Esport1–2
WInner Circle Esports2–0
WLPH Gaming2–0
LRUSH B1–2
L9INE1–2
LTeam Next Level0–1
WMASONIC1–0
WMetizport X1–0
WBack2TheGame1–0
LZero Tenacity1–2
LFire Flux Esports0–2
LSashi Esport1–2
LGUN5 Esports0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

SinnersWin %Alliance
44%16 mapsLWLLW
Ancient
50%6 mapsLWLLW
43%14 mapsWLLWL
Inferno
33%3 mapsLWL
38%8 mapsLLWWL
Nuke
100%2 mapsWW
43%7 mapsWLWLL
Mirage
–
40%5 mapsLLWLW
Anubis
–
33%3 mapsLLW
Train
0%1 mapsL
100%1 mapsW
Dust II
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA