illwill vs ECSTATIC (ILWL-ECS) result: Parken Challenger Championship Season 1 2026, 23 Feb 2026

49%Win probability before the match51%
Map 1ECSTATICwonMap 2illwillwonMap 3illwillwon
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illwill vs ECSTATIC: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating5 Elo points separate illwill (1735) and ECSTATIC (1740).
  • Head-to-headillwill 2-0 ECSTATIC in 2 meetings since 2024. illwill took the previous meeting 2-1 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 4 2026 (). More
  • Formillwill won 9 of their last 10; ECSTATIC won 6 of 10. illwill are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (51% for the side it leaned to); illwill took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs ECSTATIC: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
ECSTATICElo: #295VRS: #350
nicoodozAWP
TMBIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamECSTATIC
64% (89-49)Map win rate61% (202-130)
14-7Deciding maps won–lost36-23
62%Series wins without dropping a map57%
45 minAverage map length45 min
48%CT-side rounds won48%
38%First half won41%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill vs ECSTATIC: meetings before this one

illwillillwill2wins0winsECSTATICECSTATIC

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to illwill ()

All 2 meetings

illwill and ECSTATIC: form going into the match

illwill · 9 of 10 wonECSTATIC · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
170417191733174817321737170417191733174817321737
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WBC.Game Esports2–0
LGamerLegion0–2
WPhantom2–1
WSashi Esport1–0
W9INE1–0
WBC.Game Esports1–0
WBOSS1–0
WMASONIC1–0
WOlyBet SB2–1
WLeo Team2–1
WPhantom2–0
LSinners1–2
WBC.Game Esports2–0
WPhantom1–0
WAvanti Esport1–0
LSinners0–1
LGamerLegion0–1
WMINLATE1–0
WMASONIC2–1
Llos kogutos0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %ECSTATIC
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
60%5 mapsWWLWL
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
50%6 mapsWWLLL
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
0%4 mapsLLLL
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
0%3 mapsLLL
–
Ancient
43%7 mapsWLLWW
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
50%4 mapsLWLW
–
Train
50%4 mapsWLLW
–
Anubis
50%2 mapsWL

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