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illwill vs Sinners (ILWL-SIN) result: Parken Challenger Championship Season 1 2026, 24 Feb 2026

illwillillwillElo 17462SinnersSinners#32 · Elo 17820
Parken Challenger Championship Season 1 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3LAN
42.2%Win probability before the match57.8%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2illwillwon
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illwill vs Sinners: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating36 Elo points separate illwill (1746) and Sinners (1782).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • Formillwill won 9 of their last 10; Sinners won 7 of 10. illwill come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Sinners a 58% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs Sinners: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
SinnersElo: #32VRS: #41
beastikIGL
MoDoAWP
SHOCK

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamSinners
65% (93-50)Map win rate58% (219-158)
15-7Deciding maps won–lost22-36
62%Series wins without dropping a map74%
45 minAverage map length48 min
48%CT-side rounds won48%
38%First half won59%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill and Sinners: form going into the match

illwill · 9 of 10 wonSinners · 7 of 10 won
illwillillwillSee all
WAM Gaming2–0
WECSTATIC2–1
WBC.Game Esports2–0
LGamerLegion0–2
WPhantom2–1
WSashi Esport1–0
W9INE1–0
WBC.Game Esports1–0
WBOSS1–0
WMASONIC1–0
SinnersSinnersSee all
LGamerLegion0–2
WECSTATIC2–1
WMASONIC2–1
LPhantom0–1
WECSTATIC1–0
WGamerLegion1–0
WAvanti Esport1–0
WMINLATE1–0
LAlliance0–2
WAcend2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %Sinners
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
60%10 mapsWWWLL
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
40%10 mapsWLWLL
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
63%8 mapsLWLWW
–
Ancient
50%12 mapsWWLWL
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
50%6 mapsLLWWL
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
50%4 mapsWLLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA