HOTU vs Astralis (HOTU-AST) result: BLAST Bounty Summer 2026, 25 Jul 2026

35.4%Win probability before the match64.6%
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HOTU vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache32 min▶
HOTU
1
T1:11CT0:2
Astralis
13
MAP 2Nuke37 min▶
HOTU
13
CT9:3T4:4
Astralis
7
MAP 3Ancient49 min▶
HOTU
10
CT7:5T3:8
Astralis
13

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HOTU vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating69 Elo points separate HOTU (1764) and Astralis (1833).
  • Head-to-headHOTU 1-0 Astralis in 1 meeting since 2024. HOTU took the previous meeting 2-0 at StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Fall 2026 (). More
  • FormHOTU won 8 of their last 10; Astralis won 4 of 10. HOTU are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

HOTU vs Astralis: rosters

HOTUElo: #30VRS: #31
AWP
n0rb3r7
frontalesProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
68%Win rate56%
63Matches, 12 months80
8/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 4Current streaklost 2
23Age23
07/2025On the team since01/2026
800eDPI1584
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

HOTUTeamAstralis
59% (154-106)Map win rate49% (92-97)
29-14Deciding maps won–lost18-10
56%Series wins without dropping a map55%
47 minAverage map length47 min
51%CT-side rounds won56%
52%First half won55%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

HOTU vs Astralis: meetings before this one

HOTUHOTUHOTU1win0winsAstralisAstralis

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to HOTU ()

The only meeting

HOTU and Astralis: form going into the match

HOTU · 8 of 10 wonAstralis · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
168517581831190517601835168517581831190517601835
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WInfinite2–0
WGamerLegion2–0
WAstralis2–0
WHeroic2–1
Lfnatic0–2
WQUAZAR2–0
WEntropy2–1
WBrute2–0
WVexar2–0
LGenOne0–2
LHeroic0–2
LHOTU0–2
WFOKUS2–1
WTeam Nemesis2–1
LpaiN0–2
LTYLOO0–1
L9z0–1
WGamerLegion1–0
LGamerLegion0–2
WSinners2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

HOTUWin %Astralis
53%17 mapsLWLLW
Dust II
33%18 mapsLWLLW
42%12 mapsWLWLW
Ancient
82%17 mapsWWLWL
50%6 mapsWWWLL
Overpass
60%20 mapsLLLWW
71%7 mapsLWWWL
Mirage
41%17 mapsLWWLL
60%5 mapsWLWLW
Nuke
47%15 mapsLLLLL
–
Inferno
63%8 mapsWLWLW
67%3 mapsLWW
Anubis
–
–
Cache
100%1 mapsW

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