The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming (MGLZ-AUR) result: PGL Astana 2025, 16 May 2025

65.9%Win probability before the match34.1%
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PGL Astana 2025 · Quarterfinal 1The MongolZThe MongolZThe MongolZAurora GamingAurora GamingAurora GamingVS
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The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage39 min▶
The MongolZ
5
CT4:8T1:5
Aurora Gaming
13
MAP 2Anubis68 min▶
The MongolZ
14
T6:6CT6:6OT1 CT1:2OT1 T1:2
Aurora Gaming
16

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating76 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1874) and Aurora Gaming (1798).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 2-1 Aurora Gaming in 3 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 1-0 at Skyesports Championship 2024 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 7 of their last 10; Aurora Gaming won 6 of 10. The MongolZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 66% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
22Age26
08/2023On the team since04/2025
–eDPI2400
woxic
woxicProfile
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
MAJ3RIGL
woxicAWP
XANTARES

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamAurora Gaming
63% (125-74)Map win rate51% (167-159)
15-10Deciding maps won–lost32-31
64%Series wins without dropping a map43%
48 minAverage map length47 min
50%CT-side rounds won52%
55%First half won69%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 1–0 to The MongolZ ()

All 3 meetings

The MongolZ and Aurora Gaming: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 7 of 10 wonAurora Gaming · 6 of 10 won
WNatus Vincere2–0
WMIBR2–0
WFURIA2–1
LVitality0–2
WLiquid2–1
LMOUZ0–2
WFaZe2–0
WComplexity2–1
LTeam Falcons1–2
WFURIA2–0
WODDIK2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
WNIP2–1
WHOTU2–1
LBIG1–2
LComplexity1–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–0
L3DMAX1–2
WLegacy2–0
WpaiN2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Aurora Gaming
68%19 mapsLLWWW
Mirage
100%4 mapsWWWW
75%12 mapsLWWWW
Inferno
20%5 mapsLWLLL
40%10 mapsWLLLW
Anubis
86%7 mapsWWLWW
63%16 mapsLLWWW
Ancient
–
50%10 mapsWLLLW
Dust II
50%4 mapsWLLW
38%8 mapsWLWLL
Nuke
67%3 mapsWLW
–
Train
0%3 mapsLLL

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