Liquid vs 500 (TL-500) result: Birch Cup 2025, 27 Sep 2025

LiquidLiquidLiquid#21 · Elo 18041500500Elo 15730
Birch Cup 2025 · Play-inMatch overBO1LAN
79%Win probability before the match21%
Map 1LiquidLiquidwon
Watch back
No VOD found for this match yet. Pick a channel above to look for it there.

Liquid vs 500: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating231 Elo points separate Liquid (1804) and 500 (1573).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormLiquid won 5 of their last 10; 500 won 7 of 10. 500 come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Liquid a 79% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Liquid vs 500: rosters

LiquidElo: #21VRS: #19
EliGE
NAF
NertZ
IGL
ultimateAWP
ultimate
ultimateProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
39%Win rate50%
31Matches, 12 months22
5/10Last 10 matches7/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
21Age25
07/2024On the team since07/2024
–eDPI880
CeRqAWP
hampusIGL
Rainwaker
REDSTARAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

LiquidTeam500
45% (69-86)Map win rate57% (179-135)
12-14Deciding maps won–lost31-18
50%Series wins without dropping a map56%
47 minAverage map length46 min
47%CT-side rounds won49%
36%First half won48%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Liquid and 500: form going into the match

Liquid · 5 of 10 won500 · 7 of 10 won
LThe MongolZ1–2
WAurora Gaming2–0
WFaZe2–0
WTYLOO2–1
WHeroic2–1
LGamerLegion0–2
LFURIA1–2
LSpirit0–2
WImperial2–1
LG20–2
WkONO.ECF2–0
LBIG0–1
WAaB Esport1–0
WARCRED2–0
WTricked2–1
LGUN5 Esports0–2
WKHAN2–0
WFORZE Reload2–0
LRUBY0–2
WAMKAL ESPORTS2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

LiquidWin %500
33%15 mapsLWWWW
Mirage
80%5 mapsWWLWW
38%16 mapsWLLWL
Dust II
0%3 mapsLLL
69%13 mapsWWWWL
Ancient
50%6 mapsWWWLL
25%12 mapsLLLLW
Inferno
50%4 mapsWWLL
43%7 mapsWLWLW
Nuke
13%8 mapsWLLLL
60%5 mapsLLWWW
Anubis
40%5 mapsLWWLL
25%8 mapsWLLLL
Train
–
–
Overpass
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA