The MongolZ vs Astralis (MGLZ-AST) result: PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, 21 Feb 2025

73.2%Win probability before the match26.8%
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The MongolZ vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage42 min▶
The MongolZ
8
T5:7CT3:6
Astralis
13
MAP 2Inferno68 min▶
The MongolZ
12
CT6:6T6:6OT1 T0:3OT1 CT0:1
Astralis
16

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating115 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1840) and Astralis (1725).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 1-1 Astralis in 2 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-1 at YaLLa Compass 2024 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 6 of 10. The MongolZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 73% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Astralis: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
–Win rate55%
–Matches, 12 months33
–Last 10 matches6/10
–Current streaklost 1
22Age29
08/2023On the team since09/2024
–eDPI916
cadiaN
cadiaNProfile
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
cadiaNAWP
device
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamAstralis
68% (138-66)Map win rate53% (83-73)
15-9Deciding maps won–lost11-12
63%Series wins without dropping a map67%
46 minAverage map length48 min
51%CT-side rounds won50%
60%First half won44%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Astralis: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to The MongolZ ()

All 2 meetings

The MongolZ and Astralis: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 6 of 10 won
WpaiN2–1
WWildcard2–0
WComplexity2–0
LVitality0–2
WEternal Fire2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
WGamerLegion2–0
WLiquid2–1
LMOUZ0–2
WHeroic2–1
LHeroic0–2
WBIG2–0
WMIBR2–1
LTeam Falcons1–2
WSAW2–0
LpaiN1–2
WBetBoom Team2–1
WZero Tenacity2–1
LBC.Game Esports0–2
WOG2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Astralis
67%6 mapsWLWLW
Mirage
40%5 mapsWLLLW
100%2 mapsWW
Inferno
78%9 mapsWLWWW
33%3 mapsLWL
Nuke
43%7 mapsWLWLL
75%4 mapsWLWW
Ancient
60%5 mapsWWWLL
50%2 mapsWL
Dust II
25%4 mapsLLLW
100%1 mapsW
Anubis
–
–
Train
0%1 mapsL

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