The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere (MGLZ-NAVI) result: IEM Katowice 2025, 4 Feb 2025

46.7%Win probability before the match53.3%
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The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage34 min▶
The MongolZ
3
CT1:11T2:2
Natus Vincere
13
MAP 2Ancient47 min▶
The MongolZ
9
T3:9CT6:4
Natus Vincere
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating15 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1834) and Natus Vincere (1849).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 0-1 Natus Vincere in 1 meeting since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 1-0 at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 9 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 6 of 10. The MongolZ are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 53% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
22Age20
08/2023On the team since11/2023
–eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
jL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamNatus Vincere
68% (130-61)Map win rate63% (106-61)
14-9Deciding maps won–lost16-8
62%Series wins without dropping a map60%
46 minAverage map length48 min
57%CT-side rounds won59%
100%First half won50%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 1–0 to Natus Vincere ()

The only meeting

The MongolZ and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 9 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 6 of 10 won
WGamerLegion2–0
WLiquid2–1
LMOUZ0–2
WHeroic2–1
WMOUZ1–0
WG21–0
WGamerLegion2–0
WMIBR1–0
WRare Atom1–0
WDRILLAS2–1
WSpirit2–1
WFURIA2–0
LSpirit0–2
WpaiN2–1
WAstralis2–0
WImperial Female2–0
LHeroic1–2
WGamerLegion2–0
LSpirit0–1
LMIBR0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Natus Vincere
100%2 mapsWW
Mirage
100%4 mapsWWWW
50%2 mapsLW
Nuke
50%2 mapsWL
100%1 mapsW
Ancient
67%3 mapsLWW
–
Dust II
50%4 mapsLWLW
–
Inferno
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA