Ursa vs Gentle Mates (URSA-M8) result: IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier 2026, 22 Jan 2026

26.7%Win probability before the match73.3%
Map 1Gentle MatesGentle MateswonMap 2Gentle MatesGentle Mateswon
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Ursa vs Gentle Mates: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating116 Elo points separate Ursa (1620) and Gentle Mates (1736).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormUrsa won 7 of their last 10; Gentle Mates won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Gentle Mates a 73% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ursa vs Gentle Mates: rosters

AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
70%Win rate57%
10Matches, 12 months28
7/10Last 10 matches7/10
lost 1Current streakwon 2
21Age24
07/2025On the team since08/2025
–eDPI1236
Martinez
MartinezProfile
Gentle MatesElo: #184
alex
dav1g
MartinezAWP
mopoz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

UrsaTeamGentle Mates
57% (85-64)Map win rate51% (45-43)
13-10Deciding maps won–lost8-4
41%Series wins without dropping a map60%
46 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Ursa and Gentle Mates: form going into the match

Ursa · 7 of 10 wonGentle Mates · 7 of 10 won
LBetBoom Team0–2
WEYEBALLERS2–1
WBC.Game Esports2–0
WBebop2–1
WAcend2–1
WWATERMELON1–0
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WLeo Team1–0
Lillwill0–2
Wex-GANK Esports1–0
WTeam Nemesis2–0
WGenOne2–0
LHOTU0–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
LLiquid1–2
WM802–0
LNIP0–2
WEXSAD Gaming2–0
WRebels Gaming2–0
WFlame Hard1–0