Nexus vs ARCRED (NXS-ARC) result: NODWIN Clutch Series Season 3 2025, 1 Dec 2025

62.1%Win probability before the match37.9%
Map 1ARCREDARCREDwonMap 2ARCREDARCREDwon
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Nexus vs ARCRED: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating57 Elo points separate Nexus (1576) and ARCRED (1519).
  • Head-to-headNexus 0-2 ARCRED in 2 meetings since 2024. ARCRED took the previous meeting 2-0 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 1 2025 (). More
  • FormNexus won 5 of their last 10; ARCRED won 3 of 10. Nexus come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Nexus a 62% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nexus vs ARCRED: rosters

NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
XELLOWAWP
XELLOW
XELLOWProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
35%Win rate25%
51Matches, 12 months8
4/10Last 10 matches2/8
lost 3Current streakwon 1
25Age24
09/2024On the team since05/2025
800eDPI–
RaijinProfile
ARCREDElo: #75VRS: #166
IGL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

NexusTeamARCRED
45% (185-228)Map win rate44% (140-177)
24-43Deciding maps won–lost20-32
63%Series wins without dropping a map62%
44 minAverage map length45 min
47%CT-side rounds won47%
43%First half won44%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Nexus vs ARCRED: meetings before this one

NexusNexus0wins2winsARCREDARCREDARCRED

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to ARCRED ()

All 2 meetings

Nexus and ARCRED: form going into the match

Nexus · 5 of 10 wonARCRED · 3 of 10 wonWonLost
147115051539157315651519147115051539157315651519
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LENCE0–2
LPassion UA1–2
WFriendlyCampers2–1
WENCE1–0
WG2 Ares2–0
LWOPA Esport0–1
WInfinite1–0
LFORZE Reload0–2
LTeam Novaq0–2
WAaB Esport2–1
LFORZE Reload0–2
WHAVU2–1
LHAVU1–2
LDynamo Eclot0–2
LAlliance0–2
LSangal1–2
WRUBY2–0
WSPARTA2–1
LTPuDCATb TPu1–2
LNuclear TigeRES0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

NexusWin %ARCRED
30%10 mapsLLLLW
Train
44%18 mapsLLWLL
50%8 mapsLWWLW
Mirage
64%14 mapsLWWWW
42%12 mapsWLWLL
Dust II
56%9 mapsWWLLW
45%11 mapsWLWLL
Ancient
30%10 mapsLLLWL
20%5 mapsLLLLW
Inferno
50%16 mapsWWLLW
25%4 mapsLWLL
Nuke
40%5 mapsLLLWW
–
Overpass
0%3 mapsLLL
0%1 mapsL
Anubis
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA