Nexus vs Alliance (NXS-ALL) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 season 50 2025, 15 Aug 2025

48.6%Win probability before the match51.4%
Map 1AlliancewonMap 2NexuswonMap 3Nexuswon
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Nexus vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating6 Elo points separate Nexus (1616) and Alliance (1622).
  • Head-to-headNexus 2-2 Alliance in 4 meetings since 2024. Nexus took the previous meeting 2-1 at CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 12 2024 (). More
  • FormNexus won 3 of their last 10; Alliance won 4 of 10. Alliance come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (51% for the side it leaned to); Nexus took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nexus vs Alliance: rosters

NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
lauNX
XELLOWAWP
XELLOW
XELLOWProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
24Age24
09/2024On the team since12/2024
800eDPI600
AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

NexusTeamAlliance
47% (188-211)Map win rate51% (166-161)
27-43Deciding maps won–lost32-30
58%Series wins without dropping a map50%
44 minAverage map length48 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Nexus vs Alliance: meetings before this one

NexusNexus2wins2winsAllianceAlliance

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Nexus ()

All 4 meetings

Nexus and Alliance: form going into the match

Nexus · 3 of 10 wonAlliance · 4 of 10 won
WGUN5 Esports2–0
WQMISTRY2–1
LJiJieHao0–2
LCYBERSHOKE Esports0–2
LReason1–2
Lex-Partizan1–2
LJohnny Speeds1–2
LSashi Esport0–2
WBetera Esports2–0
LPartizan Esport1–2
WMousquetaires2–0
LNemiga0–2
LSinners1–2
WSangal2–1
LFORZE Reload1–2
WMousquetaires2–0
LKOLESIE0–2
L1WIN0–2
LIberian Soul1–2
WNXT2–0