Liquid vs Astralis (TL-AST) result: StarLadder Major Budapest 2025, 2 Dec 2025
53.3%Win probability before the match46.7%
Watch back
StarLadder Major Budapest 2025 · Round 5
Liquid
AstralisVS
LiquidAstralisVSWatch each map again
Liquid vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto
Liquid vs Astralis: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating15 Elo points separate Liquid (1829) and Astralis (1814).
- Head-to-headLiquid 1-1 Astralis in 2 meetings since 2024. Liquid took the previous meeting 2-1 at CCT Global Finals Season 1 2024 (). More
- FormLiquid won 6 of their last 10; Astralis won 5 of 10. Liquid come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Liquid a 53% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Liquid vs Astralis: rosters
Team comparison
LiquidTeamAstralis
49% (83-88)Map win rate50% (103-102)
14-15Deciding maps won–lost21-13
56%Series wins without dropping a map51%
47 minAverage map length49 min
52%CT-side rounds won53%
43%First half won43%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Liquid vs Astralis: meetings before this one
All 2 meetings
Liquid and Astralis: form going into the match
Liquid · 6 of 10 wonAstralis · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer