Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (URSA-ex-ZT) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026, 30 Mar 2026

62.6%Win probability before the match37.4%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2EZwonMap 3Ursawon
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Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating59 Elo points separate Ursa (1600) and ex-Zero Tenacity (1541).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormUrsa won 7 of their last 10; ex-Zero Tenacity won 5 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 63% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity: rosters

AWP
Jyo
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate54%
50Matches, 12 months13
7/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 2Current streakwon 1
21Age24
07/2025On the team since12/2025
–eDPI1000
brutmonsterProfile
ex-Zero TenacityElo: #70VRS: #93
AWP
emiIGL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

UrsaTeamex-Zero Tenacity
57% (150-115)Map win rate46% (53-63)
19-16Deciding maps won–lost9-13
60%Series wins without dropping a map55%
46 minAverage map length47 min
57%CT-side rounds won47%
57%First half won27%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Ursa and ex-Zero Tenacity: form going into the match

Ursa · 7 of 10 wonex-Zero Tenacity · 5 of 10 won
WOmega2–0
WSTATE2–0
LNemiga0–2
WLeo Team2–0
LRebels Gaming0–2
WTDK2–1
WRune Eaters2–0
L1WIN0–2
WOlyBet SB2–0
WMousquetaires2–1
WReThink2–1
LBebop1–2
WMASONIC2–0
Wrottweilers2–1
LHashiras0–2
LHAVU1–2
WSINQU2–0
WMASONIC2–0
LBIG0–2
Lyngods1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

UrsaWin %ex-Zero Tenacity
80%10 mapsWLWWW
Dust II
46%13 mapsLLWWW
43%7 mapsWLLWW
Mirage
50%8 mapsWWLWW
60%5 mapsLLWWW
Inferno
56%9 mapsWWLLW
100%3 mapsWWW
Nuke
27%11 mapsLWWLL
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
14%7 mapsLLLWL
100%2 mapsWW
Anubis
50%2 mapsLW

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