TDK vs Ursa result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 season 51 2026, 24 Mar 2026

72.1%Win probability before the match27.9%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2TDKTDKwonMap 3Ursawon
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TDK vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating109 Elo points separate TDK (1737) and Ursa (1628).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormTDK won 6 of their last 10; Ursa won 7 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave TDK a 72% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

TDK vs Ursa: rosters

TDKElo: #47
Ax1Le
nafanyIGL
AWP
zorteProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
73%Win rate57%
49Matches, 12 months44
6/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 2Current streakwon 1
27Age21
02/2026On the team since07/2025
AWP
Jyo

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

TDKTeamUrsa
75% (58-19)Map win rate56% (142-110)
7-4Deciding maps won–lost18-16
74%Series wins without dropping a map59%
46 minAverage map length46 min
53%CT-side rounds won57%
71%First half won60%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

TDK and Ursa: form going into the match

TDK · 6 of 10 wonUrsa · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
159416521709176617441621159416521709176617441621
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Wlos kogutos2–0
WHAVU2–1
LTeam Nemesis0–2
WRebels Gaming2–0
WHyperSpirit2–0
LWHITEBIRD1–2
LWW Team0–2
W1WIN2–1
WMUERTA TEAM2–0
Lmagic1–2
WRune Eaters2–0
L1WIN0–2
WOlyBet SB2–0
WMousquetaires2–1
Lex-RUBY1–2
LK270–2
WBIG EQUIPA2–0
Wlos kogutos2–1
WBebop2–1
WSangal2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

TDKWin %Ursa
100%2 mapsWW
Dust II
75%8 mapsWLWWW
83%6 mapsLWWWW
Anubis
100%1 mapsW
50%2 mapsWL
Mirage
20%5 mapsLLWLL
80%5 mapsWWWWL
Overpass
0%1 mapsL
0%1 mapsL
Inferno
50%4 mapsWWLL
50%4 mapsWLWL
Ancient
–
–
Nuke
100%3 mapsWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA