los kogutos vs Ursa (LK-URSA) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 season 51 2026, 19 Mar 2026

26.9%Win probability before the match73.1%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2los kogutoswonMap 3Ursawon
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los kogutos vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating114 Elo points separate los kogutos (1491) and Ursa (1605).
  • Head-to-headlos kogutos 1-1 Ursa in 2 meetings since 2024. Ursa took the previous meeting 2-1 at BC Game Masters Season 1 2026 (). More
  • Formlos kogutos won 3 of their last 10; Ursa won 7 of 10. Ursa are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 73% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

los kogutos vs Ursa: rosters

los kogutosElo: #201VRS: #165
IGL
AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
48%Win rate56%
21Matches, 12 months36
3/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 1Current streakwon 2
24Age21
06/2025On the team since07/2025
AWP
Jyo

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

los kogutosTeamUrsa
50% (111-109)Map win rate56% (131-102)
25-11Deciding maps won–lost16-15
49%Series wins without dropping a map59%
43 minAverage map length46 min
54%CT-side rounds won56%
54%First half won63%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

los kogutos vs Ursa: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Ursa ()

All 2 meetings

los kogutos and Ursa: form going into the match

los kogutos · 3 of 10 wonUrsa · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
145415071561161515001607145415071561161515001607
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WDziuseppe2–0
LSangal1–2
Lex-RUBY1–2
WOlyBet SB2–1
LWW Team1–2
LOmega0–2
WOmega2–1
LUrsa1–2
LGenOne0–2
LENCE Academy0–2
WBebop2–1
WSangal2–0
LASTRAL1–2
WECSTATIC2–0
WBIG Academy2–0
Wzajezdzacze2–0
Lillwill0–2
WOmega2–0
LENCE Academy1–2
WOlyBet SB2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

los kogutosWin %Ursa
61%18 mapsLLLWL
Nuke
100%2 mapsWW
62%13 mapsWLLWL
Mirage
25%4 mapsLWLL
20%10 mapsLLLLL
Dust II
83%6 mapsWWWWW
54%13 mapsLLWLW
Ancient
–
20%5 mapsLWLLL
Overpass
0%1 mapsL
–
Inferno
50%4 mapsWWLL
0%2 mapsLL
Anubis
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA