Natus Vincere vs Astralis (NAVI-AST) result: IEM Cologne 2024, 11 Aug 2024

59.6%Win probability before the match40.4%
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IEM Cologne 2024 · Upper bracket semifinal 1Natus VincereNatus VincereNatus VincereAstralisAstralisAstralisVS
REPLAYYouTube · ESL Counter-Strike · EN

Natus Vincere vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating45 Elo points separate Natus Vincere (1748) and Astralis (1703).
  • Head-to-headNatus Vincere 1-0 Astralis in 1 meeting since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at BLAST Premier Final Spring 2024 (). More
  • FormNatus Vincere won 8 of their last 10; Astralis won 5 of 10. Natus Vincere are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 60% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Natus Vincere vs Astralis: rosters

Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
jL
AWP
w0nderfulProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
19Age22
11/2023On the team since12/2023
1068eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
device
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Natus VincereTeamAstralis
61% (66-43)Map win rate61% (58-37)
12-6Deciding maps won–lost6-7
54%Series wins without dropping a map73%
49 minAverage map length48 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Natus Vincere vs Astralis: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

The only meeting

Natus Vincere and Astralis: form going into the match

Natus Vincere · 8 of 10 wonAstralis · 5 of 10 won
WpaiN2–0
WComplexity2–0
LLiquid1–2
WBIG2–0
LLiquid1–2
WBIG2–0
WG22–1
WMOUZ2–1
WFaZe2–0
WFURIA2–0
W9z2–0
WNIP2–0
LVitality1–2
WTeam Falcons2–1
LVitality0–2
WTeam Falcons2–0
LVirtus.pro0–2
WSAW2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
LThe MongolZ1–2