STATE vs G2 Ares (STA-G2.A) result: Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier 2026, 28 Aug 2026
STATE#117 · Elo 16050
G2 Ares#171 · Elo 15522Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier 2026 · Group BMatch over
61.2%Win probability before the match38.8%
Map 1
wonMap 2won
wonMap 2wonWatch back
STATE vs G2 Ares: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating53 Elo points separate STATE (1605) and G2 Ares (1552).
- Head-to-headSTATE 1-1 G2 Ares in 2 meetings since 2024. G2 Ares took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 season 51 2026 (). More
- FormSTATE won 6 of their last 10; G2 Ares won 4 of 10. STATE come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave STATE a 61% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
STATE vs G2 Ares: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 50% | Win rate | 48% |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Matches, 12 months | 66 |
| 6/10 | Last 10 matches | 4/10 |
| won 1 | Current streak | lost 2 |
| 20 | Age | 19 |
| 02/2026 | On the team since | 08/2025 |
| 600 | eDPI | – |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
STATETeamG2 Ares
54% (128-109)Map win rate52% (145-133)
22-19Deciding maps won–lost24-16
53%Series wins without dropping a map59%
44 minAverage map length45 min
49%CT-side rounds won46%
50%First half won29%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
STATE vs G2 Ares: meetings before this one
All 2 meetings
STATE and G2 Ares: form going into the match
STATE · 6 of 10 wonG2 Ares · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer