ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT (ASTR-MOUZ.N) result: Urban Riga Open#2 2026, 5 Jan 2026

20.6%Win probability before the match79.4%
Map 1MOUZ NXTwonMap 2MOUZ NXTwon
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ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating154 Elo points separate ASTRAL (1441) and MOUZ NXT (1595).
  • Head-to-headASTRAL 0-1 MOUZ NXT in 1 meeting since 2024. MOUZ NXT took the previous meeting 2-0 at Urban Riga Open #1 2025 (). More
  • FormASTRAL won 7 of their last 10; MOUZ NXT won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave MOUZ NXT a 79% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT: rosters

ASTRALElo: #134VRS: #91
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate–
12Matches, 12 months–
7/10Last 10 matches–
won 5Current streak–
23Age17
09/2025On the team since07/2025
MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

ASTRALTeamMOUZ NXT
45% (13-16)Map win rate50% (103-102)
1-1Deciding maps won–lost14-15
67%Series wins without dropping a map58%
44 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to MOUZ NXT ()

The only meeting

ASTRAL and MOUZ NXT: form going into the match

ASTRAL · 7 of 10 wonMOUZ NXT · 7 of 10 won
WMINLATE1–0
WFriendlyCampers1–0
WFingers Crossed1–0
WSINQU1–0
WAaB Esport1–0
LSharks0–2
WTeam USA2–0
LNIP0–2
WUnderground Esports1–0
LAM Gaming0–2
WFriendlyCampers2–0
WEC BANGA1–0
WCSDIILIT1–0
LALGO Esports0–1
WSemperFi Esports1–0
Whypewrld1–0
Lfnatic1–2
WInner Circle Esports2–1
LVenom1–2
Willwill1–0