500 vs ARCRED (500-ARC) result: Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 2025, 5 Aug 2025

65.2%Win probability before the match34.8%
Map 1500wonMap 2500won
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500 vs ARCRED: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating72 Elo points separate 500 (1626) and ARCRED (1554).
  • Head-to-head500 0-1 ARCRED in 1 meeting since 2024. ARCRED took the previous meeting 1-0 at ESL Challenger Katowice: European Open Qualifier 2024 (). More
  • Form500 won 3 of their last 10; ARCRED won 5 of 10. ARCRED come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave 500 a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

500 vs ARCRED: rosters

CeRqAWP
hampusIGL
Rainwaker
REDSTARAWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
25Age24
07/2024On the team since05/2025
880eDPI–
RaijinProfile
ARCREDElo: #75VRS: #166
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

500TeamARCRED
57% (155-116)Map win rate43% (65-86)
28-15Deciding maps won–lost10-17
51%Series wins without dropping a map52%
46 minAverage map length44 min
52%CT-side rounds won42%
62%First half won42%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

500 vs ARCRED: meetings before this one

5005000wins1winARCREDARCREDARCRED

1 meeting · Most recent: 1–0 to ARCRED ()

The only meeting

500 and ARCRED: form going into the match

500 · 3 of 10 wonARCRED · 5 of 10 won
WTPuDCATb TPu2–0
LNAVI Junior0–2
WDynamo Eclot2–0
WAMKAL ESPORTS2–0
LIberian Soul0–2
L9INE0–2
LENCE1–2
LRUSH B0–2
LSpirit Academy0–2
LRUBY1–2
WNinjas in Pyjamas Impact2–0
LSangal1–2
WSENZA Esports2–0
LSashi Esport0–2
LTricked0–2
WALGO Esports1–0
Lm1x0–1
LSpirit Academy0–3
W1WIN2–0
WPARIVISION2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

500Win %ARCRED
67%18 mapsWWWWW
Mirage
50%2 mapsWL
50%14 mapsLLLLW
Ancient
33%3 mapsLWL
36%11 mapsLLLLL
Nuke
0%2 mapsLL
50%10 mapsWLWLL
Inferno
0%2 mapsLL
56%9 mapsLLWWL
Anubis
100%1 mapsW
50%8 mapsWLWLL
Dust II
–
–
Overpass
0%2 mapsLL
–
Train
50%2 mapsWL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA