Black Phoenix vs Nexus result: CCT Europe Series #10 2026, 10 Oct 2026

66%Win probability before the match34%
Map 1Black PhoenixBlack PhoenixwonMap 2Black PhoenixBlack Phoenixwon
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Black Phoenix vs Nexus: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating76 Elo points separate Black Phoenix (1686) and Nexus (1610).
  • Head-to-headBlack Phoenix 0-1 Nexus in 1 meeting since 2024. Nexus took the previous meeting 2-1 at European Pro League Series 9 2026 (). More
  • FormBlack Phoenix won 7 of their last 10; Nexus won 8 of 10. Nexus come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Black Phoenix a 66% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Black Phoenix vs Nexus: rosters

AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
56%Win rate63%
71Matches, 12 months84
7/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 5Current streakwon 4
24Age23
07/2026On the team since06/2026
1000eDPI800
shield
shieldProfile
NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
IGL
shieldAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Black PhoenixTeamNexus
53% (99-87)Map win rate47% (95-106)
25-15Deciding maps won–lost11-22
40%Series wins without dropping a map65%
43 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Black Phoenix vs Nexus: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–1 to Nexus ()

The only meeting

Black Phoenix and Nexus: form going into the match

Black Phoenix · 7 of 10 wonNexus · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
151215711631169016821606151215711631169016821606
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WLeo Team2–1
WSinners2–1
WWRAITH PCIFIC2–0
Wex-RUSTEC2–0
Wmegoshort2–1
LHOTU1–2
LUPGRADE0–2
WHOTU2–0
Lex-Zero Tenacity0–2
Wex-RUSTEC2–0
WAcend2–0
WLavked2–0
WWRAITH PCIFIC2–0
Wex-RUSTEC2–0
Lmellren1–2
WBlack Phoenix2–1
WThe Last Resort2–1
LBushido Wildcats1–2
WEntropy2–0
WPermitta Esports2–0

Bracket path

Semifinal 1Black PhoenixBlack PhoenixBlack Phoenix2NexusNexus0This match