forZe vs Aurora Gaming (forZe-AUR) result: ESL Challenger Melbourne: European Closed Qualifier 2024, 1 Mar 2024

54.2%Win probability before the match45.8%
Map 1forZewonMap 2Aurora GamingwonMap 3Aurora Gamingwon
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forZe vs Aurora Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating19 Elo points separate forZe (1604) and Aurora Gaming (1585).
  • Head-to-headforZe 2-0 Aurora Gaming in 2 meetings since 2024. forZe took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger Melbourne: European Closed Qualifier 2024 (). More
  • FormforZe won 7 of their last 10; Aurora Gaming won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave forZe a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

forZe vs Aurora Gaming: rosters

AWP
IGL
gokushimaProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
63%Win rate–
75Matches, 12 months–
7/10Last 10 matches–
won 5Current streak–
23Age22
09/2023On the team since02/2024
1280eDPI–
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
AWP
Lack1IGL
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

forZeTeamAurora Gaming
59% (19-13)Map win rate59% (24-17)
4-2Deciding maps won–lost2-3
43%Series wins without dropping a map78%
50 minAverage map length50 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

forZe vs Aurora Gaming: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to forZe ()

All 2 meetings

forZe and Aurora Gaming: form going into the match

forZe · 7 of 10 wonAurora Gaming · 7 of 10 won
W9 Pandas2–1
WMovistar KOI2–1
WAurora Gaming2–0
WV1dar Gaming2–0
WARCRED1–0
LEspionage0–2
WRUBY2–1
WBetBoom Team2–1
LEspionage1–2
LEspionage0–1
W9 Pandas2–0
WMovistar KOI2–1
WSpirit Academy2–0
WHAVU2–0
Wex-ENEIDA2–1
LforZe0–2
LMonte1–2
WB82–0
Wex-ENEIDA1–0
LMonte0–1

Bracket path

Grand finalforZeforZe1Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2This match
Aurora Gaming won the title
forZe knocked out