MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (MOUZ-AUR) result: PGL Astana 2026, 15 May 2026
45.5%Win probability before the match54.5%
Watch back
PGL Astana 2026 · Quarterfinal 1
MOUZ
Aurora GamingVS
MOUZAurora GamingVSWatch each map again
MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming: maps, round scores and veto
MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating21 Elo points separate MOUZ (1868) and Aurora Gaming (1889).
- Head-to-headMOUZ 3-1 Aurora Gaming in 4 meetings since 2024. MOUZ took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Astana 2026 (). More
- FormMOUZ won 5 of their last 10; Aurora Gaming won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Aurora Gaming a 55% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 62% | Win rate | 57% |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Matches, 12 months | 70 |
| 5/10 | Last 10 matches | 5/10 |
| won 1 | Current streak | won 1 |
| 23 | Age | 27 |
| 03/2023 | On the team since | 04/2025 |
| 800 | eDPI | 2400 |
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
MOUZTeamAurora Gaming
58% (102-74)Map win rate55% (114-94)
20-10Deciding maps won–lost17-16
56%Series wins without dropping a map64%
51 minAverage map length49 min
57%CT-side rounds won55%
56%First half won63%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming: meetings before this one
All 4 meetings
MOUZ and Aurora Gaming: form going into the match
MOUZ · 5 of 10 wonAurora Gaming · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer