Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (NAVI-AUR) result: IEM Rio 2026, 15 Apr 2026

65%Win probability before the match35%
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IEM Rio 2026 · Lower bracket finalNatus VincereNatus VincereNatus VincereAurora GamingAurora GamingAurora GamingVS
REPLAYYouTube · ESL Counter-Strike · EN

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Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Inferno42 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
CT9:3T4:1
Aurora Gaming
4
MAP 2Mirage52 min▶
Natus Vincere
11
T4:8CT7:5
Aurora Gaming
13
MAP 3Dust II36 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
T10:2CT3:2
Aurora Gaming
4

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Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating71 Elo points separate Natus Vincere (1955) and Aurora Gaming (1884).
  • Head-to-headNatus Vincere 6-0 Aurora Gaming in 6 meetings since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at BLAST Open Rotterdam Spring 2026 (). More
  • FormNatus Vincere won 8 of their last 10; Aurora Gaming won 5 of 10. Natus Vincere are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming: rosters

Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP
w0nderfulProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
60%Win rate58%
70Matches, 12 months64
8/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
21Age27
11/2023On the team since04/2025
1068eDPI2400
woxic
woxicProfile
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
MAJ3RIGL
Soulfly
woxicAWP
XANTARES

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Natus VincereTeamAurora Gaming
56% (109-84)Map win rate55% (114-94)
20-19Deciding maps won–lost19-16
49%Series wins without dropping a map60%
49 minAverage map length49 min
55%CT-side rounds won55%
53%First half won60%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming: meetings before this one

6 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

All 6 meetings

Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming: form going into the match

Natus Vincere · 8 of 10 wonAurora Gaming · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
185918941929196419551883185918941929196419551883
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WHOTU2–0
LFURIA1–2
WB82–1
LVitality0–3
WPARIVISION2–1
WAurora Gaming2–0
WTeam Falcons2–1
WB82–1
WAurora Gaming3–1
WFUT Esports2–1
WB82–0
LMOUZ0–2
WHOTU2–0
LAlliance1–2
LM801–2
WSashi Esport2–0
WInfinite2–0
LVitality0–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Natus VincereWin %Aurora Gaming
60%25 mapsWWLWW
Mirage
46%24 mapsWLWWL
60%20 mapsWLWLW
Dust II
76%25 mapsLWWWW
39%18 mapsLWLLL
Inferno
61%18 mapsWWLWW
42%12 mapsWLWWL
Nuke
40%15 mapsWLLLL
–
Overpass
50%18 mapsWLLWL
73%15 mapsWLLWW
Ancient
0%1 mapsL
40%5 mapsLWLWL
Anubis
60%10 mapsLLLWW
67%6 mapsWWLWW
Train
33%6 mapsLLWLW

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