RUSTEC vs ARCRED (RUST-ARC) result: Exort Cataclysm Season 1 2026, 31 Jan 2026

48.4%Win probability before the match51.6%
Map 1ARCREDARCREDwonMap 2RUSTECwonMap 3ARCREDARCREDwon
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RUSTEC vs ARCRED: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating7 Elo points separate RUSTEC (1608) and ARCRED (1615).
  • Head-to-headRUSTEC 1-1 ARCRED in 2 meetings since 2024. ARCRED took the previous meeting 2-0 at Exort Series Season 14 2025 (). More
  • FormRUSTEC won 7 of their last 10; ARCRED won 8 of 10. ARCRED come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); ARCRED took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

RUSTEC vs ARCRED: rosters

RUSTECElo: #230
ARCREDElo: #75VRS: #166
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

RUSTECTeamARCRED
57% (126-97)Map win rate47% (170-188)
19-14Deciding maps won–lost27-32
53%Series wins without dropping a map60%
41 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

RUSTEC vs ARCRED: meetings before this one

RUSTECRUSTEC1win1winARCREDARCREDARCRED

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to ARCRED ()

All 2 meetings

RUSTEC and ARCRED: form going into the match

RUSTEC · 7 of 10 wonARCRED · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
154915771605163216101619154915771605163216101619
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WVirtus.pro2–0
WPeekaboo1–0
WSIUUUUUU1–0
WHAVU1–0
LNuclear TigeRES0–1
LDRGN TEAM0–2
WVenom2–1
LWildcard Academy1–2
WInsilio1–0
WBASEMENT BOYS1–0
WWW Team2–1
WBrute2–0
WkONO.ECF2–1
LFingers Crossed1–2
LGenOne0–2
Wex-RUBY2–0
WTeam Nemesis2–0
WBebop2–0
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
WEternal Fire2–0