magic vs Gentle Mates (MGC-M8) result: StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Fall 2026, 21 Jul 2026

66.7%Win probability before the match33.3%
Map 1magicwonMap 2magicwon
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magic vs Gentle Mates: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating80 Elo points separate magic (1844) and Gentle Mates (1764).
  • Head-to-headmagic 2-1 Gentle Mates in 3 meetings since 2024. magic took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Astana 2026 (). More
  • Formmagic won 6 of their last 10; Gentle Mates won 5 of 10. magic come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave magic a 67% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

magic vs Gentle Mates: rosters

magicElo: #26VRS: #23
AWP
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
51%Win rate54%
68Matches, 12 months24
6/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
21Age29
03/2026On the team since07/2026
800eDPI1000
CRUC1AL
CRUC1ALProfile
Gentle MatesElo: #183
alex
CRUC1ALAWP
dav1g
mopoz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

magicTeamGentle Mates
64% (85-48)Map win rate55% (110-89)
13-7Deciding maps won–lost20-14
66%Series wins without dropping a map57%
47 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won55%
59%First half won55%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

magic vs Gentle Mates: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to magic ()

All 3 meetings

magic and Gentle Mates: form going into the match

magic · 6 of 10 wonGentle Mates · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
174917941838188318441764174917941838188318441764
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WWalczaki2–0
LInner Circle Esports0–2
WEsport Academy Copenhagen2–1
LNIP1–2
WNIP2–0
WFaZe2–1
W3DMAX2–0
LMOUZ0–2
LTeam Falcons0–2
W9z2–1
W3DMAX2–1
L3DMAX0–2
LNIP0–2
WWildcard2–0
Lex-RUBY1–2
WKOLESIE2–0
LNuclear TigeRES0–2
WAcend2–1
LTeam Nemesis0–2
WWW Team2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

magicWin %Gentle Mates
44%16 mapsLLLWL
Mirage
40%10 mapsLWLWW
67%12 mapsWLWWW
Ancient
70%10 mapsWWWWL
63%8 mapsLWWLW
Inferno
67%9 mapsWWLLW
100%3 mapsWWW
Overpass
40%10 mapsWWLLL
–
Nuke
46%13 mapsLWWLL
33%9 mapsLLWLW
Dust II
–
67%3 mapsWWL
Anubis
100%4 mapsWWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA