ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC (ex-ZT-RUST) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026, 2 Apr 2026

44%Win probability before the match56%
Map 1RUSTECwonMap 2RUSTECwon
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ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating27 Elo points separate ex-Zero Tenacity (1543) and RUSTEC (1570).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • Formex-Zero Tenacity won 5 of their last 10; RUSTEC won 7 of 10. RUSTEC come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave RUSTEC a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC: rosters

ex-Zero TenacityElo: #70VRS: #93
AWP
emiIGL
AWP
RUSTECElo: #230

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

ex-Zero TenacityTeamRUSTEC
45% (54-65)Map win rate57% (138-104)
9-14Deciding maps won–lost22-15
55%Series wins without dropping a map52%
47 minAverage map length42 min
47%CT-side rounds won48%
27%First half won80%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

ex-Zero Tenacity and RUSTEC: form going into the match

ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 of 10 wonRUSTEC · 7 of 10 won
LUrsa1–2
WReThink2–1
LBebop1–2
WMASONIC2–0
Wrottweilers2–1
LHashiras0–2
LHAVU1–2
WSINQU2–0
WMASONIC2–0
LBIG0–2
LMANA eSports0–2
WASTRAL2–1
WRune Eaters2–1
WNIGEL MIRAGE2–0
WMetizport2–1
WMANA eSports2–0
WOxuji Esports2–1
WHashiras2–0
LQUAZAR1–2
LTeam Nemesis1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

ex-Zero TenacityWin %RUSTEC
46%13 mapsWWWLL
Dust II
50%2 mapsLW
27%11 mapsLLWWL
Nuke
50%2 mapsWL
56%9 mapsWLLWW
Inferno
–
50%8 mapsWWLWW
Mirage
–
14%7 mapsLWLLL
Overpass
100%1 mapsW
50%2 mapsWL
Anubis
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA