AllCS2ValorantR6

HOTU vs STATE (HOTU-STA) result: 1win Private Club Closed Qualifier season 2 2026, 7 Oct 2026

HOTUHOTUHOTU#31 · Elo 17922STATESTATESTATE#118 · Elo 15941
1win Private Club Closed Qualifier season 2 2026 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
85.2%Win probability before the match14.8%
Map 1HOTUHOTUwonMap 2STATESTATEwonMap 3HOTUHOTUwon
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HOTU vs STATE: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating198 Elo points separate HOTU (1792) and STATE (1594).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormHOTU won 6 of their last 10; STATE won 8 of 10. STATE come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave HOTU a 85% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

HOTU vs STATE: rosters

HOTUElo: #31VRS: #31
AWP
n0rb3r7
frontalesProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate51%
97Matches, 12 months59
6/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
24Age20
07/2025On the team since02/2026
800eDPI600
sL1m3Profile
STATEElo: #118VRS: #123
Altekz
kwezz
Queenix
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

HOTUTeamSTATE
61% (161-101)Map win rate55% (157-130)
27-18Deciding maps won–lost28-22
61%Series wins without dropping a map49%
47 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

HOTU and STATE: form going into the match

HOTU · 6 of 10 wonSTATE · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
154616481750185217671597154616481750185217671597
Elo after each match · oldernewer
HOTUHOTUHOTUSee all
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WBlack Phoenix2–1
WREFRESHER2–0
LBlack Phoenix0–2
LVirtus.pro0–3
WBBL2–1
W100 Thieves2–0
WTeam Nemesis2–1
LNemiga1–2
WWildcard2–0
STATESTATESTATESee all
WEAC Extra2–1
WMASONIC1–0
WECSTATIC1–0
WVitality Academy2–0
WElite Klan2–0
LWRAITH PCIFIC1–2
WMASQ1–0
WG2 Ares2–1
LBakS eSports1–2
WFC Famalicão Esports2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

HOTUWin %STATE
45%11 mapsWWWLL
Dust II
–
60%10 mapsLWWWL
Ancient
–
63%8 mapsWWLWL
Nuke
0%1 mapsL
50%6 mapsWLWLW
Cache
–
75%4 mapsWWWL
Anubis
0%1 mapsL
75%4 mapsLWWW
Mirage
–
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
–
–
Inferno
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Round of 16 Match 1HOTUHOTUHOTU2STATESTATESTATE1This match
HOTU go toQuarterfinal 1vs Acend
STATE knocked out