The MongolZ vs Liquid (MGLZ-TL) result: BLAST.tv Major Austin 2025, 12 Jun 2025

63.8%Win probability before the match36.2%
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The MongolZ vs Liquid: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Ancient39 min▶
The MongolZ
13
CT7:5T6:2
Liquid
7

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Liquid: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating99 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1869) and Liquid (1770).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 4-0 Liquid in 4 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-1 at IEM Melbourne 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 6 of their last 10; Liquid won 4 of 10. The MongolZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 64% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Liquid: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
50%Win rate33%
2Matches, 12 months9
1/2Last 10 matches3/9
won 1Current streaklost 4
22Age21
08/2023On the team since07/2024
ultimate
ultimateProfile
LiquidElo: #21VRS: #19
NAF
NertZ
IGL
TwistzzIGL
ultimateAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamLiquid
59% (110-77)Map win rate52% (77-70)
13-11Deciding maps won–lost11-12
67%Series wins without dropping a map62%
48 minAverage map length47 min
51%CT-side rounds won48%
56%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Liquid: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to The MongolZ ()

All 4 meetings

The MongolZ and Liquid: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 6 of 10 wonLiquid · 4 of 10 won
LFURIA0–1
LMOUZ0–2
WAurora Gaming2–0
LVitality1–2
WG22–0
WFURIA2–0
LAurora Gaming0–2
WNatus Vincere2–0
WMIBR2–0
WFURIA2–1
LLynn Vision0–1
LAurora Gaming0–2
LMOUZ0–2
WFaZe2–0
LThe MongolZ1–2
WNatus Vincere2–1
WMIBR2–0
LVitality0–2
WVirtus.pro2–1
LThe MongolZ0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Liquid
63%16 mapsLLWWW
Ancient
50%14 mapsWLWWW
65%23 mapsWLWLW
Mirage
17%6 mapsLLLLL
63%16 mapsWWLLL
Inferno
50%10 mapsLLWLL
42%12 mapsLLWLW
Anubis
57%14 mapsWWWLL
58%12 mapsLLWWW
Dust II
36%11 mapsLLWLW
40%10 mapsWLLWL
Nuke
33%9 mapsLLLLL
–
Train
50%2 mapsLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA