illwill vs KOLESIE (ILWL-KOL) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 season 51 2026, 17 Feb 2026

64.5%Win probability before the match35.5%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2illwillwon
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illwill vs KOLESIE: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating69 Elo points separate illwill (1691) and KOLESIE (1622).
  • Head-to-headillwill 1-0 KOLESIE in 1 meeting since 2024. illwill took the previous meeting 2-1 at Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown 2026 (). More
  • Formillwill won 7 of their last 10; KOLESIE won 5 of 10. illwill come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave illwill a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs KOLESIE: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
KOLESIEVRS: #132
AWP
SobolIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamKOLESIE
61% (65-42)Map win rate62% (54-33)
11-6Deciding maps won–lost6-7
61%Series wins without dropping a map63%
46 minAverage map length43 min
49%CT-side rounds won51%
38%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill vs KOLESIE: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–1 to illwill ()

The only meeting

illwill and KOLESIE: form going into the match

illwill · 7 of 10 wonKOLESIE · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
160916501691173216961622160916501691173216961622
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WBrute2–1
LBebop1–2
WVP.Prodigy2–0
LMonte1–2
WKOLESIE2–1
WENCE2–0
LMonte0–2
WENCE1–0
WECSTATIC2–1
WNuclear TigeRES2–0
LLeo Team1–2
WALGO Esports2–0
Lillwill1–2
WMASONIC2–0
WSashi Esport1–0
LBetBoom Team0–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
L9INE0–1
Lex-RUBY1–2
WMINLATE2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %KOLESIE
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
75%4 mapsLWWW
75%4 mapsWWWL
Nuke
50%4 mapsLWWL
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
–
–
Ancient
50%4 mapsLLWW
100%3 mapsWWW
Dust II
–
100%1 mapsW
Overpass
–
–
Anubis
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA