Alliance vs MOUZ NXT (ALL-MOUZ.N) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 season 51 2026, 23 Feb 2026

74.2%Win probability before the match25.8%
Map 1AlliancewonMap 2Alliancewon
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Alliance vs MOUZ NXT: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating121 Elo points separate Alliance (1753) and MOUZ NXT (1632).
  • Head-to-headAlliance 0-2 MOUZ NXT in 2 meetings since 2024. MOUZ NXT took the previous meeting 2-0 at Elisa Invitational Spring 2024 (). More
  • FormAlliance won 8 of their last 10; MOUZ NXT won 6 of 10. Alliance come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 74% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Alliance vs MOUZ NXT: rosters

AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
73%Win rate67%
33Matches, 12 months12
8/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 8Current streaklost 3
24Age17
12/2024On the team since07/2025
600eDPI–
MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AllianceTeamMOUZ NXT
62% (209-127)Map win rate53% (142-127)
28-28Deciding maps won–lost24-21
66%Series wins without dropping a map53%
48 minAverage map length46 min
54%CT-side rounds won50%
59%First half won63%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Alliance vs MOUZ NXT: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to MOUZ NXT ()

All 2 meetings

Alliance and MOUZ NXT: form going into the match

Alliance · 8 of 10 wonMOUZ NXT · 6 of 10 won
WGenOne2–1
Wlos kogutos2–0
WSinners2–0
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WMetizport2–0
WRebels Gaming2–0
WUNiTY esports2–1
WPhantom2–1
LSPARTA0–2
LVP.Prodigy1–2
LTDK1–2
LSPARTA1–2
LTDK0–2
WLeo Team2–0
Wlos kogutos2–0
LECSTATIC0–2
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WTDK2–1
WFavbet2–1
WOxuji Esports2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AllianceWin %MOUZ NXT
40%10 mapsLWLLW
Nuke
100%1 mapsW
50%8 mapsLLWWW
Dust II
100%1 mapsW
57%7 mapsLWWWW
Overpass
0%2 mapsLL
60%5 mapsLWLWW
Ancient
67%3 mapsWLW
83%6 mapsWWWLW
Inferno
–
100%5 mapsWWWWW
Train
–
100%1 mapsW
Anubis
75%4 mapsLWWW
–
Mirage
100%1 mapsW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA