Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC result: CCT Europe Series #10 2026, 6 Oct 2026

58.3%Win probability before the match41.7%
Map 1ButterflywonMap 2ERwonMap 3ERwon
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Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating39 Elo points separate Butterfly (1672) and ex-RUSTEC (1633).
  • Head-to-headButterfly 1-0 ex-RUSTEC in 1 meeting since 2024. Butterfly took the previous meeting 2-1 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 10 2026 (). More
  • FormButterfly won 4 of their last 10; ex-RUSTEC won 6 of 10. ex-RUSTEC come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Butterfly a 58% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC: rosters

ButterflyElo: #111VRS: #88
Forester
IGL
ayanoProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
51%Win rate57%
99Matches, 12 months82
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
22Age22
07/2026On the team since07/2026
–eDPI1120
youkaProfile
ex-RUSTECElo: #113VRS: #92
IGL
IGL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

ButterflyTeamex-RUSTEC
55% (43-35)Map win rate56% (84-66)
8-7Deciding maps won–lost18-8
56%Series wins without dropping a map53%
44 minAverage map length46 min
58%CT-side rounds won52%
74%First half won56%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–1 to Butterfly ()

The only meeting

Butterfly and ex-RUSTEC: form going into the match

Butterfly · 4 of 10 wonex-RUSTEC · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
160216341666169816761631160216341666169816761631
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Wmegoshort2–0
Lex-Zero Tenacity0–2
LNoir Verse1–2
WPhantom Academy2–0
LIberian Soul1–2
WQUAZAR2–1
LBET-M 330–2
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WHyperSpace2–0
LK270–1
WENJOY2–1
LBlack Phoenix0–2
WEsport BERG2–0
LNexus0–2
LBlack Phoenix0–2
WIberian Soul2–0
WENCE2–0
WOmega2–1
LBlack Phoenix1–2
WLeo Team2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

ButterflyWin %ex-RUSTEC
50%4 mapsWLWL
Dust II
57%14 mapsLWWWW
100%5 mapsWWWWW
Nuke
40%10 mapsWLLWW
0%4 mapsLLLL
Inferno
50%6 mapsLWLWW
–
Anubis
67%9 mapsLWWLW
50%4 mapsLWLW
Mirage
100%3 mapsWWW
83%6 mapsWWWWL
Ancient
–
100%1 mapsW
Cache
50%4 mapsLLWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA